More than 26K rape-related pregnancies estimated after Texas outlawed abortions, new study says

Rapidcreek@lemmy.world to News@lemmy.world – 703 points –
houstonchronicle.com
142

Apologies if this is not allowed, but if you are a person in Texas who needs access to reproductive healthcare or want to help those who do, here are some resources:

Resources for Texans seeking access to healthcare:

https://aidaccess.org/en/

https://teafund.org/

https://wrrap.org/about-wrrap/

https://abortionfunds.org/

If you need help getting an abortion:

https://www.plancpills.org/

https://aidaccess.org/

these sites offer access to abortion pills, even in Texas. Please be safe and be aware of clinics (e.g. Crisis Pregnancy Centers) that give out dangerous misinformation on abortions and pregnancy.

If you want to give money to some pro-choice charities, try here:

https://fundtexaschoice.org/ - The Dallas-based nonprofit Fund Texas Choice assists Texas residents with lodging and transportation expenses to abortion clinics in and out of state. It also provides information on organizations that can help with funding the procedure.

https://www.laslibres.org/ - Las Libres is a Mexican feminist organization that supports women seeking abortions and control of their own bodies; this now includes those who contact them from the United States.

https://teafund.org/ - Texas Equal Access Fund provides funding to low-income people in the north, east, and Panhandle regions of Texas who can’t afford an abortion. It also offers emotional support through a confidential text line, support group, and virtual clinic companion program.

https://janesdueprocess.org/ - Jane’s Due Process helps young Texans navigate parental-consent laws and confidentially access abortion and birth control. It offers Texas teens and young people free legal support, one-on-one case management, and a text line for those needing information on birth control and family-planning services without parental involvement.

https://www.lilithfund.org/ - The Lilith Fund, an Austin-based nonprofit, provides direct financial assistance to Texans in central and southern regions of the state who need an abortion. It also offers an emotional-support hotline.

https://www.theafiyacenter.org/ - The Afiya Center, or TAC for short, is a reproductive-justice organization in North Texas that provides refuge, education, and other resources to Black women. The center has its own “economic enrichment campaign” focused on funding projects for women of color living with HIV/AIDS (and those at risk). It also supports programs that are providing abortion access in the state.

https://thebridgecollective.org/ - The Bridge Collective serves central Texans by offering transportation to abortion clinics for people within 100 miles of Austin. It also provides free reproductive-health resource kits to those who are within 30 miles of Austin. The kits include Plan B, pregnancy tests, condoms, and information on sexual and reproductive health.

https://avowtexas.org/ - Avow (which was previously NARAL Pro-Choice Texas) fights for abortion rights through community building, education, and political advocacy. The Avow Foundation funds research, public education, organizing, and more to educate Texans on the importance of abortion access.

More here: 20 Organizations Fighting the Texas Abortion Ban

Please feel free to copy and share this and to add your own links.

If you need to come to my area (Bay Area) from TX to get an abortion, I will let you crash on my sofa. My GF lives here too; she loves to cook for people. Hope you like Thai food, but she can make pasta if you don't.

It's working as intended for the forced-birth party. Not only are women in red states relegated to second-class citizens, but those states are going to have a population boom. Which means that they'll have even MORE representation in the House come the next census.

Human suffering is considered to be mere collateral damage as the GOP continues its pursuit of unchecked power.

It also drives any one more progressive than a stone wheel out of the state meaning there’s just fewer democrats to vote against their dear leader

Sort of like gerrymandering but completely legal!

not true. i'm staying here in part to serve people who are otherwise disempowered. texans, if you care about people and you care about this place, i hope some of you will stick around so we can make it better.

i respect that some just don't want to and some don't feel safe. but i also think enough people who care can make a difference.

Texas hasn't voted blue since 1976. It ain't happening anyway.

Texas is very much a purple area. It could completely flip blue in certain areas, which is why you might have noted all the efforts to suppress the vote at the state level, such as throwing out Houston's votes.

how much of that is the more traditional kind of gerrymandering, though? They're not as bad as WI, but they're taking notes.

~26000 births isnt a lot though compared to the 375000 births that occur in Texas every year.

It’s about 7%. That is a lot.

The real question is, what is the overall population growth rate compared with before? I wonder how many people are leaving TX, or (more likely) deciding to not move to TX, compared with previous years.

2 more...

1 in 14.4 based on your numbers, sounds pretty dang high in my opinion.

3 more...
3 more...

That's a fuckload of rape considering how small the window to actually get pregnant is.

I cannot fathom that much raping in one state in that period of time. How does that get ignored? The crime is considered to be as serious as murder.

Rape has been a serious criminal offence in a lot of Europe since the middle ages... But as the crime happens in private where there is considerable shame applied to consentual extra merital liaisons there was a sort of "conflict of interest" for women to claim that it was something forced on them and not consentual circumstances. This, and the level of punishment being high required equally high burden of proof so usually unless someone was actually physically beaten to the point where it would be ludicrous to assume it consentual during the attack or there were independent witnessess to the crime you see this long history of rape being on the books as illegal but very little motivation to convict.

A lot of these rapes could be in step with the practice of "stealthing" or reproductive coercion where a condom or other contraceptive is willingly tampered with or removed during sex without the knowledge of the partner. This, while not the violent crime we automatically think of associating with rape is a removal of consent that has severe potential mental and physical reprocussions. Rape also encapsulates aspects where consent was removed partway during an otherwise consentual act but one of the partners refuses to stop. These styles of rape are quite common in the culture of dating which has culturally evolved to include sexual liasons as part of the trial period of determining good long term matches.

With our modern concepts of consent the perceived range of acts which count as reportable rape is larger than ever before due to decent education campaigns but the conviction rate remains low because of the same issues of burden of proof not being supportable to meet the level of persecution.

An actual life sentence for being the victim of rape.

I'm just going to point out that, in a number of states, rapists can get visitation rights or custody to their offspring, further victimizing the mother: first she was raped, second she was forced to carry the child to term and, if she decides to keep the child, she may be forced to have some form of contact with her rapist.

But sure, tell me again how Texas is such a fucking free paradise ....

Texas and Florida are duking it out to be the worst fucking state of all time.

Holy shit that's a horrifying number. And this is just the pregnancies. I have no words other than FUCK TEXAS.

Having visited the place for extended periods of time I can confidently say Texas is a shithole. I don't know why they think it's so special.

They think themselves special because

A) it's a very large state, nearly as large as Alaska. Originally or was going to become several states, but it being admitted to the union prior to the civil war as a slave state the leaders of the country chose to leave it as one huge state because they wanted to keep the ratio of slave and non slave states equal.

B) they used to be an independent country (like Hawaii). Nevermind the fact the only reason they asked to join the Union was that the nation of Texas was broke and couldn't pay their bills.

C) they're quite populous, nearly as much so as California.

Basically, when you're second best at everything and broke af you get a chip on your shoulder.

Texas is that guy in the giant lifted truck who is insecure about how they look. They are as proud as new Yorkers are about their little slice of crap. but unlike NY who promotes we got the best experiences/opportunities, they value freedoms. Except they REALLY REALLY dont. Ita a huge lie they lie to themselves and everyone else about constantly.

A lot of states have one major city that dominates everything. Who cares about upstate New York or southern Illinois?

Texas happens to have three such metropolitan areas, but they act like anyone gives a shit about the rest.

26,000 rapes in the last nine months? If that’s true, they should be focusing on that more than abortion.

I promise you, survivors have been saying this for years.

That’s a crazy amount. That’s nearly 3000 rapes a month. Or roughly 100 rapes per day. And that’s only those that resulted in pregnancy. Actually for a state the size of Texas maybe it’s not that surprising, sadly.

That is astronomically bad. I know why women hate men. They are making a bad rep for all men. Disgusting.

Yeah, once you can stop the defensive toxic masculinity, and listen to women, it's impossible not to be a feminist unless you're truly evil.

oh gawd, and crybaby man-children complain about girls rejecting them, when girls are just trying to stay safe 🤦‍♂️

I'm not crying about rejection. But thanks for playing miss interpreting sentences that can have alternative meanings. Next week you can read into a meme I post and think it's about your childhood.

Oh my gosh. I'm sorry. My reply/comment was very badly written. It was not directed at you. I meant to talk about how, in general, some men, who are child-like, take rejection so badly when they don't understand the dangers women deal with when it comes to dating or other social interactions with men.

Again, I apologize. I should have looked over what I wrote before posting it.

I was assured by Governor Abbott that there wouldn't be rapes because those are illegal.

There aren't people illegally crossing the border, either. Oh wait… did no one think to throw that in his face at the time?

That’s only 26000 RAPE RELATED PREGNANCIES. Not the total number of rapes unfortunately.

Or, you know, maybe not allow people to be raped and allow people to discontinue a pregnancy, especially those arising from rape.

The support those children will receive postpartum, will be just, warm hearted and generous, right?

They're God's children when they're in the womb ... a tool to used by government during the first ten years of their lives .... and nobody wants them when they grow up.

That's not true - the military can always use more hands

Thats a fuckload of rapes

Especially when you consider those are only the ones that resulted in pregnancies.

No, I think pretty much anyone would get a sexual health and pregnancy test, at least, after getting f'ing raped!

Sure, maybe. Not every rape will result in pregnancy though, that's the point. For the to be 26k pregnancies resulting from rapes, there must have been more than 26k rapes. Which is an absolutely ludacris number of rapes. That's the point being made: >26k rapes is a fucking insane amount of rapes.

Republicans want this because it will continue the supply of prison slaves when the children are a little older.

Neglected, reviled, emotionally abused, poorly educated children (which many of these children will be due to the situations they are being born into) will make great little conservative voters.

They'll be ready to vote for the leader that best validates their anger.

At the rate we're going,, by the time these kids are voting age, will there still be a country?

Wait a sec. In the event of rape, I thought God stops the pregnancy. Or, the women's body magically rejects it because they are not soul mates. Or, whatever other evil, disgusting, nonsense, bullshit these idiots dream up to try and justify torturing women.

I think the old testament prescribes taking some kind of elixir to stop the pregnancy if there's adultery. As far as morality goes the bible has genocides where killing women and children is demanded.

Imo rape kids are the intention of these bills. White Christian Nationalists think women have too much control and they want to use the state to enforce their own beliefs in power and control.

And an alarming amount of people, including lawmakers beleive something along those line, or "if its legitimate rape, the body has ways of shutting it down"

So they will think if you got pregnant from it then it wasn't really rape then was it? Because if it was "real rape" God/ your body would have stopped you from getting pregnant.

That’s a lot of rapes. Aside from guns do Texans actually care about anything. They obviously don’t care about women other than sex objects.

They care about size, and relate everything large to their state with shit like "Texas sized!"

...which 1: tooootally not compensating for anything, and 2: is hilarious because regarding US state size, Texas is #2 by a massive margin, measuring in at about 0.5 Alaskas.

Yeah but Alaska doesn't count because hardly anyone lives there...

Then they bitch about California.

Texas saw an estimated 26,313 rape-related pregnancies during the 16 months after the state outlawed all abortions, with no exceptions for survivors of rape or incest, according to a study published Wednesday in the Journal of the American Medical Association,” the Houston Chronicle reports.

“The authors noted that while some pregnant rape survivors who need abortion care may be able to travel out of state or manage the pregnancy at home with abortion pills, the bans leave many survivors without a viable alternative.”

Some parts of the USA are really more than utterly disgusting. And we all know it's not pro-life, it's pro-cheaplabour.

Someone in Texas should propose a law that makes rape punishable by life in prison, minimum, and failure to pay child support punishable by chemical castration (it's reversible). Watch these fuckers go to the mat defending a rapist's right to get off without major consequences.

The consequences almost don't matter. Rape is very hard to prosecute often, and women don't come forward about it because they are not believed and ridiculed. Our country sucks.

Shithole country.

Shithole state.

We're either a society or we're not. The US is responsible for US atrocities.

Where does it end? Lol.

Earthlings are responsible for earthling atrocities!

Honestly I think nation states are a tool of division and delinquency for the powerful, sociopathic few that work against their own species, so yes we should be.

We are one species. We just act like we aren't out of selfish crap hoarding. The idea that we're not responsible for one another is killing the planet and us.

Last I checked, a minority of mentally defective degenerates has an outsized role in determining who governs the country.

System works as designed. Nobody should for a second think that this is some sort of unintentional side effect.

This might sound horrible, but what would any lawmaker or politician in Texas (or who supports outlawing abortion) do if they got raped or someone they loved got raped?

Obviously go somewhere else to get an abortion. The law is for the poors.

Well of someone they loved got raped it means they were asking for it and therefore cheating on them /are a slut, so they deserve it or something along those lines.

In their minds, 26,000 future workers or prison slaves. So for them, it's all going according to plan.

This is what they wanted, right? Punish the women and punish children because a woman got raped?

"But the poor man has to either go to jail, or pay child support! It sucks for him, too!"

So... something that's bad for everyone (except for the rich, who can get safe abortions out of state in secret). Sounds like what the Republicans want!

So there is over 26,000 rapists in Texas alone? I kinda find that hard to believe.

Edit: As of 2024, Texas had a reported rape rate of 51.1 per 100,000 inhabitants, with a total of 14,824 cases reported. This rate is a reflection of the number of reported rape incidents and not necessarily the number of convictions. https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/rape-statistics-by-state

Additionally, it was noted that in 2020, there was a significant number of rape offenses in Texas, but the clearance rate for these offenses had decreased. In 2020, there were 1,828 arrests for 13,327 reported offenses. This decrease in clearance rate suggests that fewer rape cases were being solved or leading to arrests. https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2022/aug/09/beto-orourke/texas-had-highest-number-rape-offenses-2020-did-no/

This is a weak response, but I have been contributing lots of money to my local politicians, and I will be writing them regarding this (I am not in Texas.)

This is appalling.

Following the June 2022 Supreme Court ruling that overturned Roe v. Wade, the researchers estimated there were 519,981 rapes associated with 64,565 pregnancies during the four to 18 months after states implemented total abortion bans.

I find this somewhat difficult to understand... "four to 18 months" is a really wide range. Did they mean "the period between four and eighteen months" following the abortion bans? Is this just poor phrasing? When exactly do these statistics begin and end?

Of those pregnancies, an estimated 5,586 occurred in states with exceptions for rape and 58,979 in states with no exceptions.

This seems to be a very telling statistic as it shows an order of magnitude difference, but it would be more informative if it were normalized for population count and/or rape incident count per jurisdiction.

Texas saw an estimated 26,313 rape-related pregnancies during the 16 months after the state outlawed all abortions

What was the per-month average prior to the ban? Is this a delta, or is it just representative of Texas in general?

I think there's a very valid point to be made here about correlation between rape incidents, unwanted pregnancies and states with abortion bans, but it's being hampered by very bad handling of statistical data.

Nobody else is saying this, so I will. I'm sceptical of this figure. Recognising that spousal rape is rape, it's very hard to believe this number. "Rape-related" is very vague. It could mean women who have been raped before, who later become pregnant consensually. Pregnancies due to rape are simply not this common.

No sign of how they came up with that number.. Even for how messy that state is, that number seems quite made up and too high (and I sincerely hope so)

It's obviously an estimate, but "no sign" seems a little bit of an undersell.

Because to our knowledge no recent reliable state-level data on completed vaginal rapes (forced and/or drug/alcohol–facilitated vaginal penetration) are available, we analyzed multiple data sources to estimate reported and unreported rapes in states with total abortion bans (Table 15). We also estimated the number of resulting pregnancies based on findings from prior research on rape-related pregnancy rates (eMethods in Supplement 1). This study followed the relevant sections of the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) reporting guideline. The institutional review boards of our institutions did not consider analyses of publicly available data human participants research.

To estimate the contemporary incidence of vaginal rape nationally, we analyzed the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC’s) 2016 to 2017 National Intimate Partner and Sexual Violence survey (which used special methods to accurately ascertain reported and unreported rapes). We adjusted for the fraction of survivors who were female individuals aged 15 to 45 years using data from the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ (BJS) annual survey on criminal victimization (which is known to underestimate rapes5)3 and further adjusted for the percentage of rapes that are vaginal.1 We calculated 95% CIs using measures of uncertainty from the CDC survey. The CDC and BJS surveys do not include state-level data; thus, we apportioned the 2022 nationwide rape estimate among states based on the US Federal Bureau of Investigation’s most recent Uniform Crime Reports, which include rapes reported to law enforcement in 2019.

To estimate rape-related pregnancies, we multiplied the state-level estimate of vaginal rapes by the fraction likely to result in pregnancy (eMethods in Supplement 1)6 and then adjusted for the number of months between July 1, 2022, and January 1, 2024, that a total abortion ban was in effect. We used Stata, version 16.1 (StataCorp), to analyze the BJS survey data and Microsoft Excel for other calculations.

You're totally right, my simplified viewer didn't make see the link!
However it really is an estimation based on previous years mad stuff... and while I'd have no problem in accepting a similar math in a less important case, I somehow am not keen to accept them as possibly valid (again, I hope so)