Okay, but what I'm reading is that Biden sounded like a lost old man and Trump sounded like a crazy old man, which is what everyone already knew about both of them, so I'm not sure why anyone would change their minds.
Because we know from 2016 and 2020 that Trump's craziness isn't an impediment to him getting votes. We're also in a bubble here on Lemmy. The CNN flash poll they conduct before/after the debate had a 12 point swing towards Trump.
Was that 12 points swinging towards Trump as the debate winner or was that people changing their vote? Because those are very different things. I would be surprised if it were the latter.
The debate winner. And yeah it's different but also telling when Biden has won easily every other time.
I really don't think that it's telling at all. I have a very difficult time believing someone would suddenly consider a dictator over the possibility of Kamala Harris stepping in like they hadn't already.
It's worth remembering that our elections are generally very close. It doesn't take a ton of people in a battle state to change their minds.
Sure, but there's also a lot of time between now an November.
That is also true. Another breakpoint coming up is Trump's sentencing. Apparently focus groups report they're less likely to vote for him if he gets a sentence including a jail or prison term.
There's also that documentary which may or may not come out about Trump being racist during The Apprentice. We'll see if that has an effect.
Okay, but what I'm reading is that Biden sounded like a lost old man and Trump sounded like a crazy old man, which is what everyone already knew about both of them, so I'm not sure why anyone would change their minds.
Because we know from 2016 and 2020 that Trump's craziness isn't an impediment to him getting votes. We're also in a bubble here on Lemmy. The CNN flash poll they conduct before/after the debate had a 12 point swing towards Trump.
Was that 12 points swinging towards Trump as the debate winner or was that people changing their vote? Because those are very different things. I would be surprised if it were the latter.
The debate winner. And yeah it's different but also telling when Biden has won easily every other time.
I really don't think that it's telling at all. I have a very difficult time believing someone would suddenly consider a dictator over the possibility of Kamala Harris stepping in like they hadn't already.
It's worth remembering that our elections are generally very close. It doesn't take a ton of people in a battle state to change their minds.
Sure, but there's also a lot of time between now an November.
That is also true. Another breakpoint coming up is Trump's sentencing. Apparently focus groups report they're less likely to vote for him if he gets a sentence including a jail or prison term.
There's also that documentary which may or may not come out about Trump being racist during The Apprentice. We'll see if that has an effect.