2024 US House Races Megapost!

jordanlund@lemmy.worldmod to politics @lemmy.world – 80 points –

I'm not even going to TRY to list out all 435 House Races, but let's keep the discussion on that here.

Google election results is showing:

218 R / 208 D with 218 needed for majority. We likely won't know the full result for several days.

9 races left to call.

CA 9 - Leaning Democratic
CA 21 - Leaning Democratic
ME 2 - Leaning Democratic
OH 9 - Leaning Democratic
OR 5 - Leaning Democratic - Called by local media.

AK 1 - Leaning Republican
CA 13 - Leaning Republican
CA 45 - Leaning Republican
IA 1 - Leaning Republican

Looks like it's going to end up 222 R to 213 D.

Particularly notable will be any flips from D to R or R to D.

Currently, the makeup of the House is:

https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown

220 Republicans
212 Democrats
3 Vacancies

Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-WI) resigned effective 04/25/2024.

Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee (D-TX) died 07/19/2024.

Rep. Bill Pascrell (D-NJ) died 08/21/2024.

If the Republicans lose just 5 seats, control will flip from them, back to the Democrats with a majority of 217 to 215. Not even counting the three vacancies.

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So for the supermajority to be effective, the Democrats must also have the Senate and 26 states must be Democratic for the constitutional amendment to become a reality. Right?

For an Amendment you need 38 states to ratify it. So every state that voted for Biden + 13 Trump states.