You could also say they are 80-90% sure of the gender, it’s not exactly a coin toss. LGBTQ+ people deserve to exist, have rights, be happy, be accepted, and love who they want to love. But a person seeing a penis on an ultrasound can still be reasonably sure of the gender.
Most of the other countries with problems don’t have their citizens walking around loudly declaring as a matter of average discourse that they are the “greatest country in the world”.