I think we'll see a temporary "return to normalcy" after the protest finishes and most subs come back online. But come June 30 and the end of third-party apps, we'll see a bunch of users come back to Lemmy/Kbin again.
In a way, this seems like the best way of driving things. The protest has raised awareness and got a ton of development work going, and then there's going to be a respite giving instances time to prepare themselves for the second surge.
You don't get to be that rich by paying bills.
I wish the AFU had the courage to not waste the lives of their soldiers and come to the negotiating table so that no more lives are senselessly wasted
What's to negotiate? Russia has seized Ukrainian territory. Ukraine wants it back. There's nothing for Ukraine to concede.
The only side "wasting" lives here is Russia, if they'd just go home the war would be over. Ukraine's not going to try seizing any Russian territory.
Anyone that "knows" they will completely overpower Ukraine apparently stopped paying attention to reality many years ago. They've been proven to be incapable of it.
The overall "pattern of the war" is that Russia took a bunch of Ukrainian territory early on, and then has spent the past year having its meat ground and losing big chunks of occupied territory back to the Ukrainians again. Bakhmut has been notable because it was an exception to this overall pattern. We may now be seeing the pattern reassert itself there, though.
That is the common narrative among Americans and Redditors
And also reality. Or does Russia still secretly occupy Kherson and Kharkiv? Did they only pretend to launch a major mobilization of new troops and call up prisoners to fill the ranks?
The day-to-day changes of the control map are less clear, especially now that there's major operational security around the counteroffensive, but I'm speaking of the overall "pattern of the war" here.
As a long-time cryptocurrency observer, it is going to be very amusing (in a bitter sort of way) seeing everyone discovering that they're trying to solve the same problems that cryptocurrencies have been working on solving for over a decade now. And then finding all sorts of ways to contort themselves into solving them differently from how cryptocurrencies did it so that nobody can accuse them of being "crypto bros" or whatever, even though the technology is perfectly applicable as-is.
How dare the people rise up against their rightfully-installed rulers and decide they want someone else. What did they think this was, a democracy?
Indeed. I was expecting a two-week "calm before the storm" at this point, as the protest blackout ended but the API was not yet removed. But the protest continued and Reddit keeps stirring the pot. Interesting times.
I know that in the end Reddit will be able to brute-force themselves a "win", but if the Fediverse gets a nice solid critical mass of users as a result then I think Reddit's destined for a long decline.