I Don't Believe This Weekend's Scary Poll Numbers

politics @lemmy.world – 188 points – 1 years ago

I Don't Believe This Weekend's Scary Poll Numbers

That poll putting Trump ahead of Biden in all the major battleground states sure looks terrifying, but there's never been an election more clouded by the unknown than this one.

A week after Halloween and the scary monsters are still abroad in the land.

Scary polls!

Scary plans!

Boogedy, boogedy!

It was a great weekend for intellectual doomscrolling, to say nothing of galloping paranoia. First, The New York Times comes out with a poll that shows the president is trailing Fulton County (Ga.) Inmate No. PO1135809 in all the major battleground states.

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He lost pretty convincingly. It was only 3 years ago. You don't remember Biden voters lining up to vote early, during a worldwide pandemic, just to kick Trump while he was down.

Biden won 25 states, the District of Columbia, and one congressional district in Nebraska, totaling 306 electoral votes. Trump won 25 states and one congressional district in Maine, totaling 232 electoral votes. This result was exactly the reverse of Trump's victory, 306 to 232, in 2016 (excluding faithless electors).[321] Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidential election in Georgia since 1992 and in Arizona since 1996,[20] and the first candidate to win nationally without Florida since 1992 and Ohio since 1960, casting doubt on Ohio's continued status as a bellwether state.[322] Biden carried five states won by Trump in 2016: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. He also became the first Democrat since 2008 to carry Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, winning one electoral vote from the state. Trump did not win any states won by Clinton in 2016.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election

I was referring to the popular vote, not the sick joke that is the electoral college. He got like 48% of the 170 million-ish votes in 2020.

Why would you care about that? That doesn't decide the election. Anyway, he lost that by 4.5% (7 million votes). Biden's percentage (51.3%) was the highest for a challenger to an incumbent president since 1932. Trump got completely stomped.

The outside world cares, as it tells a lot about the US as a nation. Nearly half of you are batshit insane, at minimum.

I care about who the American people voted for, not an illegitimate EC win. And 7m is nothing out of 170m, he should have lost by 80% but he didn't, hence this country is fucked.

I will never understand the proclivity to just make numbers and shit up when the sum of all human knowledge is at your finger tips.

The numbers are readily available, it's not hard to find.