US poised to see record drop in yearly homicides despite public concern over crime

Rapidcreek@lemmy.world to News@lemmy.world – 144 points –
Homicide numbers poised to hit a record decline nationwide. But most Americans think murder is on the rise
abcnews.go.com
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"The homicide rate in the United States is expected to plummet nearly 13% compared to 2022, meaning more than 2,000 fewer people were the victims of homicide this year, Jeff Asher, a national crime analyst, told ABC News.

The FBI's annual Uniform Crime Reporting Program, which analyzed data from 15,897 law enforcement agencies, the largest single-year jump in murders in more than a century occurred between 2019 and 2020 as murders and nonnegligent manslaughter offenses nationwide rose nearly 30%.

Homicides across the country continued to increase in 2021 by 4.3% before falling by 6% in 2022, according to the FBI report."The homicide rate in the United States is expected to plummet nearly 13% compared to 2022, meaning more than 2,000 fewer people were the victims of homicide this year, Jeff Asher, a national crime analyst, told ABC News."

So the murder rate is still above 2019 levels. All of those people who are worried about crime must be morons who have fallen for misinformation, clearly.

I'm pretty sure something significant happened late 2019, but I can't quite recall what.

I wonder if the spike in murder rate is connected with domestic abuse. During the pandemic, there was no escape for people who were in danger.

Yeah, that's pretty much what I was aiming for. Include financial desperation and mass death due to COVID and you have a powder keg.

Well in that case I guess it's OK that 4 years later the murder rate remains elevated. I keep forgetting that Because The Pandemic is a valid excuse for literally everything.

Nope, it’s a possible explanation for why there was a spike and why that spike is receding.

So the murder rate is still above 2019 levels. All of those people who are worried about crime must be morons who have fallen for misinformation, clearly.

But still under pre-'93 levels. Crime has fallen steadily in the US since '93, and although we have had a pop since iirc 2016, we never reached pre '93 levels during it, and now that pop seems to be slowing down.