Excellent analysis. Anecdotally it seems to me that unless the I25 corridor suffers some kind of world changing event, New Mexico is going to go to Biden. NM is purple for sure, but it went to both Gore and HRC. In the places I've been there it's only bluer now.
I tend to agree, but we really need recent polling...
We definitely need something better than "some asshole's vibe check", but honestly I think apathy is a bigger threat to Biden than Trump. I think Trump winning the polls will bring more turnout, and that turnout will be more "I have to vote for him again?" than "my faschi boy can do it"
Excellent analysis. Anecdotally it seems to me that unless the I25 corridor suffers some kind of world changing event, New Mexico is going to go to Biden. NM is purple for sure, but it went to both Gore and HRC. In the places I've been there it's only bluer now.
I tend to agree, but we really need recent polling...
We definitely need something better than "some asshole's vibe check", but honestly I think apathy is a bigger threat to Biden than Trump. I think Trump winning the polls will bring more turnout, and that turnout will be more "I have to vote for him again?" than "my faschi boy can do it"