ISW RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, AUGUST 9, 2023

Summary: The report from the Institute for the Study of War provides an in-depth analysis of the Russian offensive campaign as of August 9, 2023. It covers various aspects, including speculations about the Wagner Group's withdrawal from Belarus, Putin's ongoing concerns about the Wagner Group, the restructuring of Russian military districts, Ukrainian counteroffensive operations, and an explosion near the Zagorsk Optical Mechanical Plant in Moscow. The report also delves into the complex dynamics between different Russian military factions and the potential implications of these developments.

Thought-Provoking Questions:

1. Wagner Group's Future: How might the speculated withdrawal of the Wagner Group from Belarus and the collapse of the deal between Putin and Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin affect the overall Russian military strategy?
2. Ukrainian Counteroffensive Operations: What are the strategic implications of the continued Ukrainian counteroffensive operations on different fronts, and how might they shape the future course of the conflict?
3. Russian Military Dynamics: How do the internal dynamics and disagreements within the Russian military, such as the rehabilitation of Army General Sergei Surovikin and the recreation of military districts, reflect the broader challenges faced by the Russian leadership in managing the conflict?