A sample size of 2090, as in this study, is large enough to bring the margin of error down to 2%.

Furthermore, there is no need to speculate about who they polled, because this information is available. Questioning the results of the poll is as unreasonable as 2020 Trump supporters questioning every poll that showed Biden with an advantage.

The article was rewritten. Note that the linked url is still:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/24/wagner-troops-may-reach-moscow-by-evening-as-kremlin-hurries-to-intercept

That's like saying Microsoft and Sony need to settle on either "Gamertag" or "PSNID", because otherwise Call of Duty players trying to find their friends online will be confused.

I think users can figure things out.

Whatever that rule is, I bet the mods at /r/interestingasfuck are ready to enforce it.

/u/spez isn't trying to win a popularity contest, he is trying to maximize his $$$ from the upcoming IPO. Even if it succeeded in smearing protestors, a self-hack isn't going to help him there at all. In fact quite the opposite, since it saddles Reddit investors with more potential liabilities.

That's how all reputable election polling was done in 2020. For example, if you take a random sample that happens to be 52% men and 48% women, it is completely appropriate to overweight the women's responses to match their actual percentage in the US, 50.5%.

In fact, in the 2020 election there was a bunch of Trump supporters who had the same doubts as you, and they would "unskew" polls with 52% men responding to give them 52% of the final weighting. Lo and behold, their "unskewed" polls showed Trump in the lead. But the proof of the method is in the election results...

The options will continue to be available through registry keys.

It was a private message. It's not going to be actionable as defamation.

I doubt it was much of an added expense. The search was carried out by Coast Guard and Navy personnel, who would be getting paid regardless.

If the sub hadn't gone missing, it's quite likely their time and resources would have been spent on practicing some sort of rescue mission.

Rich people die all the time, in hospitals. Nobody pays much attention.

The reason an imploding sub is getting attention is that sub implosions don't happen every day. There were no millionaires aboard the Kursk, but everybody was talking about it after it imploded.

Tragedies on private subs are even more rare. When non-millionaire Kim Wall was murdered aboard the Nautilus, it got plenty of attention even though plenty of other people were murdered that day.

It's silly to judge a polling outfit solely on the politics of their CEO.

FWIW, 538 gave Harris a "B" grade with 83% accuracy in 2020. If anything, Harris seemed to overestimate Biden's support (eg they predicted Trump would lose FL and NC).

Make a ton of money, or depending on how things go, lose a ton of money.

That's equivalent to one metric bag.

It's much easier if you reframe the problem:

Someone says they've built a machine that can perfectly predict what you will do. Do you believe them?

If so, take one box.
If not, take both boxes.

I think it's pretty simple.

• Wagner and the Russian Army are competing for increasingly limited supplies in Ukraine.

• This led Prigozhin to complain publicly about the Russian Ministry of Defense.

• In response, Putin was planning to subordinate Wagner to the Russian Army.

Subordination would limit Prigozhin's power and also reduce or eliminate his personal source of income. Which basically forced the events playing out today.

This is exactly right. There have been various interviews with college admissions directors over the past year, and they pretty much all said the same thing. To paraphrase, "We expect that AA will be struck down. If we can't directly ask about race on the application, then we will achieve the same result by indirect means".

AA opponents mistakenly believe that colleges will now be forced to consider only grades and test scores. Nothing could be further from the truth.

not with a bang, but a butthole

On the contrary, it's often both.

If you want to command something in the water, you run a wire from that something to a receiver in the cabin.

Colleges give preference to legacies because the admissions department is judged by its yield (the percentage of accepted applicants who actually enroll), and legacy applicants are more likely to enroll if accepted.

It's not necessarily related to being rich. A legacy is about as likely to be wealthy as other students at the school, because after all their parents were also students at that school.

Another important reason is that colleges rely on alumni donors, and alumni are less likely to donate if their children are not accepted.

This article does talk about "When a Harvard poll meets Fox News", but it's criticizing Fox News's distortion of a Harris poll, not the poll itself (i.e., "How Fox News and conservative media outlets are using a recent Harvard Poll to support their own election narrative.")

And Penn is actually the one complaining about those who "cherry pick to advance agendas". He specifically objected to Fox cherry picking his poll to say that voters prefer a "law and order" candidate like Trump.

Mark J. Penn ’76, a visiting lecturer at Harvard University and leading pollster for the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, explains that Fox News’s claim that poll results reflected a positive response to “law and order” messaging “is not the full context of the story.” “Look, articles like this take things out of context,” he continues. “They’re written to make a political point. That’s not the whole picture.”

Penn, a former Crimson news editor, believes that the correct analysis of the poll is that “BLM and the police, frankly, have much better images than” both Biden and Trump. The poll finds that 67 percent of respondents view the police either favorably or very favorably, and 51 percent of respondents view Black Lives Matter favorably or very favorably. In comparison, 44 percent and 48 percent of respondents had a favorable or somewhat favorable view of Trump and Biden, respectively.

“I didn’t cooperate with that article,” Penn says when asked about his thoughts on the Fox News story. “It’s unfortunate that people cherry pick [the poll] and use it to advance agendas.

Freelancer 2

We can only dream of Freelancer 2

If you are a simulation, then your choice doesn't matter. You will never get any real benefit from the boxes. It's like saying, "there is also a finite possibility that the machine is lying and all the boxes are empty". In which case, the choice is again irrelevant.

Situations in which your choice doesn't matter are not worth considering. Only the remaining possibility, that you are not a simulation and the machine is not lying, is worth considering.

Billions of animals are killed wherever crops are grown.

Even if you are entirely vegan, animals have to die if you want to eat.

In fact, if your food is grown on a farm then you are probably contributing to more animal deaths than someone who obtains food from hunting or fishing.

It's the ocean depths, not the surface of the sun.

Gas is compressible. So if you stepped into the water without any protection at extreme depth, every gas-containing part of your body would be crushed. That includes your nose, mouth, ears, throat, lungs, bowels, and most of the bones of your face.

Liquids are not very compressible. So the liquid parts of your body, like your eyes, brains, blood, and limbs, would not be affected very much. Maybe they would shrink almost imperceptibly. The same is true of the bones not in your face.

The final result would be a an oddly-smushed looking corpse, not a cloud of vapor.

Incidentally, this is why deep sea divers can swim at depth. They breathe very high pressure gas into their gas-containing parts, which thus remain inflated despite the pressure of the water.

Billions of invertebrates and other small animals are killed during tilling before planting, with pest/weed control during the growing season (even with "organic" or "natural" compounds), and of course during harvest.

This is inevitable, farming requires controlling soil and plants, and this will inevitably kill animals that you don't even see. Do you really think you can flood a rice paddy without killing countless mesofauna?

Fishing/hunting also kills animals, but you can catch a fish or hunt a deer without restructuring an entire ecosystem. Which means you can feed yourself without killing quite so many animals.

We know for a fact that wifi signal was not supposed to travel through the water, because the sub successfully reached Titanic several times before it was destroyed.

If someone had designed the sub in the bizarre way that you suggested, then it would never have completed a single mission.

I mean, the sub had reached Titanic several times, right?

So even without the design documents, we know it was previously capable of operating at depth.

Which we means we know the hull wasn't made of cotton candy, we know it wasn't propelled under water by an internal combustion engine, and we know it wasn't controlled by a device that stops working in water.

People keeping an eye on recent events at Reddit might be reconsidering that set price...

True, but it's important to note that personal data means identifiers such as name, date of birth, location, etc. Comments on a blog, by themselves, are not personal data.

Well if you put it that way, then I guess animal cruelty isn't as bad as we thought.

But if it's true that the machine can perfectly predict what you will choose, then by definition your choice will be the same its prediction. In which case, you should choose one box.

Regardless of whether the machine is right, if you don't believe it can perfectly predict what you'll do then taking both boxes is always better than just one.

Ok, suppose there is a unified magazine. I post to it, now which instance hosts my post? Then my instance defederates from that of one of the two magazines, but not the other. Do I now see only half the posts? If I engage in a comment chain, will users on the instances that defederated from mine see a weird half-conversation?

I think there is a fundamental difference between centralized formats like Reddit and federated formats like this one. Trying to simulate one with the other will always be unsatisfactory. So if Melpomene and Facedeer really want to join forces, the best way is simply to close one community and let them comoderate the remaining one.

And what happens when both pay their bills, and a comment or user is moderated by Melpomene but not Facedeer?

This is a good article on whether non-EU websites have to obey the GDPR. It boils down to two criteria:

If your business is offering goods or services, irrespective of whether a payment of the data subject is required, to such data subjects in the EU

or

If your business monitors the behavior of EU citizens and their behavior takes place within the union.

The latter includes use of advertising cookies, location tracking, etc.

If neither of those apply, you can probably ignore the GDPR.