Top live coverage of the Wagner insurrection in Russia from Meduza in English

Woland@lemm.ee to World News@lemmy.ml – 81 points – Yevgeny Prigozhin’s coup Russia’s armed forces scramble at home to confront an armed insurrection by the nation’s most outspoken mercenary figure — Meduza
meduza.io

Meduza is currently the only major independent Russian news organisation reporting on the war in Ukraine

21

You are viewing a single comment
View all comments

Does anyone know what the chances are of Wagner succeeding? Russian's military has been thinned out greatly because of the war so a concentrad attack behind the main front-lines should be effective. Assuming Wagner has access to Russian army intelligence. This Chechen warband seems like a valid thread though but they also look like the next group to try to grab power...if they crush Wagner, that would be a display of strength that could Putin in a corner as well.

The Hypermind prediction market currently estimates the chances of Putin losing power by the end of the year at 40%. Hypermind is usually a pretty good source, and I'd say this estimate is fairly reasonable (a bit high maybe?).

So far the resistance seems pretty sparse due to people defecting or just choosing not to fight.