How likely is Scottish independence from Britain?

LopensLeftArm@sh.itjust.works to Asklemmy@lemmy.ml – 27 points –

As an American, I can see that there's what appears to be a vocal minority in Scotland pushing for independence, but I genuinely have no understanding of how likely that is to ever actually happen. Is it at least in the realm of possibility, or is it more of a "The South shall rise again" type thing? (No offense intended to either side of the debate, just genuinely curious.)

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Disclaimer: am American so I only see from outside, but I think the longer the UK is out of the EU the more likely another independence referendum becomes. Also a labour government taking over from the tories would be preferable to the Scottish people, I feel.

A Labour government is, of course, preferable to the Tories. However they too are a Unionist party and not likely to agree to another referendum from Holyrood.

They'd be better to chip away at the two main cases for Scottish independence: 1) Closer and closer ties to the EU if not rejoining in some form (EEA membership for example) 2) hatred of the English by being more collaborative with Scotland in the running of the UK.

These two things might weaken the case for another referendum.

If you think hatred of the English is a factor in Scottish independence your badly informed. In Scotland the most intolerant people tend to be unionists, so intolerant they were told not to campaign against independence by the unionist parties.

Not from UK but is it true that Scotland is one of the main constituencies that allows Labour to win elections?

If so, from a practical point of view English Labour are probably even more opposed to Scottish independnce than the Tory party.

This isn't true at all. Since ww2 Scotland has voted Labour up until very recently. Every election the largest party in England formed the government. Scotland's vote hasn't mattered much. Scotland has never voted Tory, but they have by far spent the most time in government.

Scotland was full of Labour safe seats, so they did make up a big contingent of the Labour party. But Labour has lost all talent in Scotland. The SNPs success has caused Scottish Labour to churn through leaders till they accepted their fate of 2nd place - currently 3rd.