Kamala Harris Overtakes Trump in First Major Poll Since Biden Exit From Race

Beaver [she/her]@lemmy.ca to politics @lemmy.world – 916 points –
Kamala Harris Overtakes Trump in First Major Poll Since Biden Exit From Race
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With a straight face, you say if someone bets on something it's inherently more true. Betting. An entire industry powered by the mathematical fact that most betters lose. enjoy Putin's smegma

Prediction markets. Google it. Check out their successes. Nothing is 100%. The prediction markets have been saying for almost a month th that Harris as president is twice as likely as Biden. Think about it.

The concept of betting depends on the fact that most betters lose. So yeah I'd say that's a lot worse than "100%"

You just haven't learned about prediction markets yet. You're picturing Vegas, where everyone bets against the house and has to take horrible bets. Prediction markets change based on the bets of others. There have been countless scientific studies demonstrating their incredible ability to predict future events. The vast majority of them have basically been announcing bidens announcement for nearly a month prior to it happening.

Ah yes, betting is suddenly mostly winners somehow if you change the context lol

Nope. You're still not understanding. Betting isn't mostly winners. It actually comes down at about 50/50 if measured by value and in a fair market. You really just don't know about this topic. Don't let that stop you from being condescending, though. It's kinda sweet in a puppy barking at a truck kinda way.

Don’t let that stop you from being condescending, though.

There is nothing that will ever stop them from being condescending.

Your point: hey everyone place your blind faith in another imperfect system.

My point: no that's dumb just vote

You win though

Nothing about this is faith based. You're out of your league Donny.

It's no wonder that 4 sentences are tldr for you.

Good luck with your lie campaign. I hope the Palestinians you are working to kill understand they are just props for you and Putin

It's literally the opposite of what I'm saying. I'm saying don't kill pamestians, you say kill em so long as someone wearing a blue tie is responsible. My stance is kill no innocent people no matter what their race is or who supplies the bombs. You can't say the same because you care more about party lines than real-life humans.

You are trying your damndest to get the person elected who specifically will want to kill them, so yes we can see you are lying.

I don't want trump to be president. I'm a us citizen, and I won't vote for him. This doesn't mean I will pretend biden or harris is an angle who doesn't deserve special places in hell.

Then why continually lie in a way that would cause impressionable people to act in a way that will increase chances of more dead Palestinians? I have a pretty good idea about the answer.

And no I won't engage on what you've lied about. It's obvious and practically every word you wrote is a lie. That pointless conversation is what you want. To misdirect and further muddy the waters so that onlookers don't vote or vote third party, leading to your God-King winning.

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