Trump says he will hold a news conference at Mar-a-Lago on Thursday.
nytimes.com
Donald J. Trump plans to hold a “general news conference” on Thursday afternoon at his private club and home, Mar-a-Lago, the first such event he has held in months.
Mr. Trump announced the event on his website, Truth Social, on Thursday morning.
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His dropping out seems very unlikely. Not impossible by any means, but unlikely. He doesn't seem like the person who's capable of admitting defeat, especially considering his legal troubles
I agree, and I think we're working from the same priors. I just have a funny little hunch.
Heh, I get it. Let's see what happens – I'd certainly enjoy the chaos that Trump dropping out would cause. Republicans would go fucking nuts
It would have a pleasing symmetry with the headache Biden has caused with the old guard in the Dem party that wanted him out.
More likely than him "dropping out" would be him saying that there would be no Republican candidate for president "because the election is rigged!!!"
I could see this also, a bad faith withdrawal and pivot to inciting further insurrection. My gut tells me that some kind of historical first is coming down the pipe.
Could use it as an excuse for another coup attempt
I think if Trump was projected to lose by an embarrassing margin - I'm talking like 75-25 - he might prefer trying to weasel out of having a legitimate devastating loss on official record. That's not happening though with how big his base is, and with the electoral college being the way it is he is still probably favoured to win - though yes the polls are slipping.
Regardless, I can't see him dropping out now.
No way. Trump would just use that as "proof" that the election was rigged. In his mind there is no way people wouldn't vote him into office, so any scenario where he loses, his narcissism would force him to claim there was election malfeasance .
You're probably right.