Why A Third-Party Candidate Might Help Trump — And Spoil The Election For Biden

PretentiousDouche@lemmy.sdf.org to politics @lemmy.world – 43 points –
Why A Third-Party Candidate Might Help Trump — And Spoil The Election For Biden
fivethirtyeight.com

...Initial evidence suggests that, in a rematch between Biden and Trump, a No Labels and/or West campaign could pull marginal support from Biden and subtly shift the election toward Trump. Whether this would actually make for a potential spoiler, though, is a different question: History — and common sense — suggest that these possible third-party candidates would be most likely to affect the outcome if the overall race were close. But in our deeply divided political era, close elections have been the norm, which makes a spoiler candidacy a live possibility...

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We hear this literally every election

Idk, Trump has just seemed...different, he seems to rally a user base that just didn't seem to exist before. It's scary to me how he can drum up the support he has.

All I saw were legions of already existing fascists, nationalists, and other bigots feeling like society was "finally" on "their" side. Growing up in rural America, I didn't feel like Trump rallied a userbase that didn't exist before, but rather he rallied them in the way they've been wanting to get rallied since they lost Jim Crow laws.

About 30% of the United States wishes the Civil War ended differently and always has...

I disagree, Trump attracts the same group as Ross Perot did, and as Reagan did, and despite different policies I think in the same way Huey Long did. Trump's core proposition was attacking the "deep state" something that has long drawn the ire of many Americans(whether it exists or not).

Because they don’t want people thinking the system can ever change

Worked for Perot… why couldn’t it work again? No labels is well-funded and poised to be a spoiler

Because they changed the rules specifically as a result of Perot