Trump wins.

Noite_Etion@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world – 412 points –
Election live updates: Harris to deliver concession speech today after Trump victory
apnews.com
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This also suggests the Electoral College no longer favors Republicans, and is somewhere between neutral and actually favoring Democrats again.

I don't agree with this. Republican majority States are still over represented. They just happened to also win the popular vote this time. The scenario of Democrats winning popular vote but not electoral is still more likely than it happening to Republicans

Nevada, a swing state(well, supposed to be one, it seemingly didn't get close enough to count) was won by bigger margins then states like Minnesota, or New Jersey(which was a 'safe blue' state). Illinois shifted massively and Harris only one it by 7.5 points. Virginia might be slightly sub-Hillary margins. New Mexico would have broken the swing state margin if not for RFK Jr.

If you gave Harris the minimal number of votes to flip the Swing States and nothing else, she'd win the EC, but not the Popular Vote due to Trump bumping up his margins everywhere and cutting into blue state margins