Amazing growing on Lemmy!!

solidsnake911@lemmy.world to Fediverse@lemmy.world – 27 points –

In just 3 days more than 500.000 new users!! Lemmy for power, we will be legion, expect us!

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700k total users but the most votes ive seen on a post this week is like 1k

Typically only a very small percentage of total users actually interact/comment/vote on content.

I don't know if I've seen a community/magazine with even 10k subscribers yet - so 1k votes is pretty incredible participation.

I saw a post pointing out that one of the Star Trek subs hit 10k, so it's still relatively rare, at least.

Bots will ruin the fediverse just like they ruin everything else, thats the true inevitability.

Most of them are bots, I estimate around 200k real users

I agree, based on these statistics. Prior to the obvious jump in bot-farmed accounts, there were about 162000 active users with an active user proportion of about 0.186 (somewhere around >29000 active users).

Now there are 649k lemmy users and an active user proportion of 0.055 (~35600 according to the dashboard). If we assume those 35600 users represent the pre-bot-farming ratio of 0.186, we get 35600/0.186 or about just over 191000.

That's still an increase of probably 30k true users, unless the proportion of lurkers have also suddenly drastically increased. I don't think that's true, because, pre-bot-farming, when the user base started growing with the Reddit debacle, the proportion of active users increased accordingly. I assume that's because new users are excited to help grow the community.

Still, in the past two days alone active users went up by over 5k (15%). Maybe that'll continue exponentially, and there'll be 95k (500k total non-bot) users two weeks from now, or maybe it'll continue linearly and there'll be 70k (~385k) users.

I don't know why I spent so long thinking about this.

I read a few days ago that lemmy doesn't count lurkers as "users", just accounts that actually do stuff. Is it possible the number is much higher?

Hmmm, what do you mean, that if I'm stay without activity for 2 weeks, then I would be a lurker? Idk the mean of that word sorry. But yeah, it could be.

The question is: what percentage of those users are bots? And does it matter?

It matters because it means which Lemmy is growing exponentially! Ofc some of those users would be bots, but I highly doubt a lot of them.

The reason it is likely a lot of bot accounts is someone explained how to exploit a glitch that creates thousands of bot accounts within minutes. The day after they posted the exploit, suddenly Lemmy started growing rapidly. Itโ€™s just too coincidental to not be mostly bots

There are instances with over 9k accounts and like 5 posts. There's a lot of bots.

Besides from the user count. Does it feel more active lately? That's a more important question imo.

I guess we'll have to give time to adapt. The fediverse altogether is having a big shakeup. I guess when people starts to find themselves at home they'll get to interact more.