Japanese newspaper Gigazine goes over the slow decline of technological freedom up to today.
archive.ph
The original japanese article.
The last part of the article was cut off. Here what it says, 2035: In most countries, messaging apps (including email clients) are considered "critical applications" that must undergo government approval before publication.
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The mandatory DRM checks I think are 100% going to happen and I think that's the reason behind the TPM requirement for Windows 11. A completely secure bios->os chain is needed to completely lock out stuff like VLC.
They have been trying to implement this for more than a decade. It is never going to be viable.
The days of windows dominance are long, long gone.
Any service that tries to implement this will be a ghost town as there are so many other ways and devices to view content on.
Windows dominance is still here for a very long time as you go to any brick and mortar tech store and buy a new desktop/laptop and it's most certainly not running anything other than windows, with the exception being apple products. I'm also pretty sure most sellers online, unless they specifically state they make their devices specifically with Linux in mind, will by default be shipping Windows only (or macOS for apple).
Also, the average computer user sure as hell will never switch to Linux because they don't care.
There will never be the year of the linux desktop but that is not because windows won but that the PC lost.
The era of the home PC is over.
Most people's first introduction with windows these days is in the work place.
Windows (and the PC) lost the battle to to be the centre of home entertainment more than a decade ago.
Sure, it still dominates pc gaming but that is a rounding error when it comes to media consumption.
We can only hope. The Steamdeck is definitely making huge strides in Linux market penetration. I'm worried that companies like Microsoft and Google will be able to force their way through sheer inertia and apathy and forced updates.
The days of windows dominance are long, long gone.
If MS were unable to to this 20 years ago when they were at the hight of their power they have zero hope now.
Same with google. They are an advertising company that has been masquerading as a tech firm for the last 15 years.
Microsoft didn't have always on internet 20 years ago, in some ways they also have somewhat less competition now than before, since there were PC clones before while now it's Mac or PC. Though your point does give me some hope.