Currently, there is no other really powerful figure next to him.
Therefore a giant power vacuum emerges.
The war would stop, probably very soon. But then the situation gets chaotic and unpredictable.
I'd wager the war goes from internal, to internal civil war, if Putin dies, as various power blocks try either secure their own positions/power, or reach for more.
assuming they didnt try to blame the west, which then things get far more worse for NATO states, and possibly hot
There’s got to be some kind of Vice Putin isn’t there? A guy who can step in and rule with an iron fist and keep things running? Or is this just some kind of jackal feeding frenzy sort of situation when he dies?
Yeah I'd imagine the troops in Ukraine would be pulled back into Russia largely to secure someone's position in their upper ranks, with only enough to maintain defensive positions in Ukraine. If Ukraine broke through during this period it'd probably be over while Russia is distracted with internal issues.
largely to secure someone's position in their upper ranks
Yes, or simply because noone else really wants this war (=wants the country to pay the price of this war).
Currently, there is no other really powerful figure next to him.
Therefore a giant power vacuum emerges.
The war would stop, probably very soon. But then the situation gets chaotic and unpredictable.
I'd wager the war goes from internal, to internal civil war, if Putin dies, as various power blocks try either secure their own positions/power, or reach for more.
assuming they didnt try to blame the west, which then things get far more worse for NATO states, and possibly hot
There’s got to be some kind of Vice Putin isn’t there? A guy who can step in and rule with an iron fist and keep things running? Or is this just some kind of jackal feeding frenzy sort of situation when he dies?
Yeah I'd imagine the troops in Ukraine would be pulled back into Russia largely to secure someone's position in their upper ranks, with only enough to maintain defensive positions in Ukraine. If Ukraine broke through during this period it'd probably be over while Russia is distracted with internal issues.
Yes, or simply because noone else really wants this war (=wants the country to pay the price of this war).