Hard to answer that since I don't know which door was picked first.
Then again, I'm taking 3. Goats are cool.
In search of a new car, the player chooses a door, say 1. The game host then opens one of the other doors, say 3, to reveal a goat and offers to let the player switch from door 1 to door 2.
Yeah, duh. You are supposed to switch doors, everybody knows that at this point, but the picture doesn't show which door was initially picked.
Yeah I know, that's why I'm telling you now which door was picked (door #1 according to the caption on the Wikipedia page I stole borrowed this image from) 🙂
At least you only have to sink one Bayesian Superyacht to update your priors. To get at population parameters you would need to sink many Frequentist Superyachts
While the priors seemed to suggest it could float, the update step showed that was an outlier.
I’ll show myself the door.
No please stay, this joke was the only reason I clicked into the comments
Do you want to pick door No. 2?
Hard to answer that since I don't know which door was picked first.
Then again, I'm taking 3. Goats are cool.
Yeah, duh. You are supposed to switch doors, everybody knows that at this point, but the picture doesn't show which door was initially picked.
Yeah I know, that's why I'm telling you now which door was picked (door #1 according to the caption on the Wikipedia page I
stoleborrowed this image from) 🙂At least you only have to sink one Bayesian Superyacht to update your priors. To get at population parameters you would need to sink many Frequentist Superyachts