According to Social Security’s Actuarial Life Tables, Joe Biden has a life expectancy of 7 years, and there’s about a 1/3 chance he will die before he is 86.
Trump currently has a life expectancy of 9 years, and there’s about a 1/4 chance he will die before he is 82.
So, as it’s looking now, regardless of the election results it’s about a 29% chance that the next president dies in office. At that level of risk you basically have to plan for it - or it would be foolish not to.
Wooo let's pick a leader which we have to bet if they die or not in office.
How much longer are boomers going to death grip power.
Biden's not a boomer. He's Silent Generation. Boomers are all younger than Biden.
This is both hilarious and depressing.
Actuarial tables are a magnificent tool for when you’re betting en Masse and terrible if you’re betting once. My money is on the slightly older individual who takes care of himself and has shown only slight age based decline as opposed to the man who is two years younger, obese, lives off fast food, doesn’t exercise, and seems to be at a further stage of decline to my 90 year old grandpa.
I too would bet on Biden. I was just trying to stick to the facts. The facts are that they’re both old as shit. Biden is the same age as my grandmother. She has her wits about her. But nobody lives forever. I think a 5% annual chance of death is a fair assessment for anybody who’s 80. That’s still a 95% of survival.
Thats not factoring in the absolutely top class medical care that the president gets. I would wager that significantly skews the stats in bidens favor, as current president.. especially considering how we've heard the white house doc under Trump basically threw pills around at like 100x the acceptable rate.
Nope, but it is factoring in the fact of general age-related mortality.
and, again, the general population has, comparatively, shit for healthcare access and no where near the level of care that the president does. Which does absolutely skew things in that individual instance.
According to Social Security’s Actuarial Life Tables, Joe Biden has a life expectancy of 7 years, and there’s about a 1/3 chance he will die before he is 86.
Trump currently has a life expectancy of 9 years, and there’s about a 1/4 chance he will die before he is 82.
So, as it’s looking now, regardless of the election results it’s about a 29% chance that the next president dies in office. At that level of risk you basically have to plan for it - or it would be foolish not to.
Wooo let's pick a leader which we have to bet if they die or not in office.
How much longer are boomers going to death grip power.
Biden's not a boomer. He's Silent Generation. Boomers are all younger than Biden.
This is both hilarious and depressing.
Actuarial tables are a magnificent tool for when you’re betting en Masse and terrible if you’re betting once. My money is on the slightly older individual who takes care of himself and has shown only slight age based decline as opposed to the man who is two years younger, obese, lives off fast food, doesn’t exercise, and seems to be at a further stage of decline to my 90 year old grandpa.
I too would bet on Biden. I was just trying to stick to the facts. The facts are that they’re both old as shit. Biden is the same age as my grandmother. She has her wits about her. But nobody lives forever. I think a 5% annual chance of death is a fair assessment for anybody who’s 80. That’s still a 95% of survival.
Thats not factoring in the absolutely top class medical care that the president gets. I would wager that significantly skews the stats in bidens favor, as current president.. especially considering how we've heard the white house doc under Trump basically threw pills around at like 100x the acceptable rate.
Nope, but it is factoring in the fact of general age-related mortality.
The rate by which mortality increase with age is the same for those who experienced chronic disease as for the general population
and, again, the general population has, comparatively, shit for healthcare access and no where near the level of care that the president does. Which does absolutely skew things in that individual instance.