The Google antitrust ruling could be an existential threat to the future of Firefox | Financials show 86% of Mozilla's revenue came from the agreement keeping Google as Firefox's default search engine

ForgottenFlux@lemmy.world to Firefox@lemmy.ml – 192 points –
Is Mozilla the one to suffer the consequences of Google's antitrust defeat?
techspot.com

Mozilla has a close relationship with Google, as most of Firefox's revenue comes from the agreement keeping Google as the browser's default search engine. However, the search giant is now officially a monopoly, and a future court decision could have an unprecedented impact on Mozilla's ability to keep things "business as usual."

United States District Judge Amit Mehta found Google guilty of building a monopolistic position in web search. The Mountain View corporation spent billions of dollars becoming the leading search provider for computing platforms and web browsers on PC and mobile devices.

Most of the $21 billion spent went to Apple in exchange for setting Google as the default search engine on iPhone, iPad, and Mac systems. The judge will now need to decide on a penalty for the company's actions, including the potential of forcing Google to stop payments to its search "partners completely," which could have dire consequences for smaller companies like Mozilla.

Its most recent financials show Mozilla gets $510 million out of its $593 million in total revenue from its Google partnership. This precarious financial position is a side effect of its deal with Alphabet, which made Google the search engine default for newer Firefox installations.

The open-source web browser has experienced a steady market share decline over the past few years. Meanwhile, Mozilla management was paid millions to develop a new "vision" of a theoretical future with AI chatbots. Mozilla Corporation, the wholly owned subsidiary of Mozilla Foundation managing Firefox development, could find itself in a severe struggle for revenue if Google's money suddenly dried up.

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Paid for by what money?

Open source existed before money. Corporate backers came in because the product was successful, not because they thought it was a sinking ship.

So the proverbial one guy in Nebraska and a few dozen like him can work on Firefox in addition to their day jobs?

so the worldwide open source community can actually take over the project, in the full knowledge that their pull requests will actually be merged.

That can work for small improvements but not for active development at the pace of Chromium and its forks.

I see this a win.

Firefox's core users don't really care what google does, Mozilla tries to maintain feature parity with Chrome only to win the non-FF users over.

That is that one guy in Nebraska. Yes.

Every repo has its power members, but you still get great sporadic wildcard contributions from motivated outsiders, and it all adds up.

They could cut their overpaid clown executive team jfc... these parasites are everywhere, leeching.

FF will survive, it is open source lol

jfc do you have any idea how fast the web evolves? Firefox already struggles to keep up with changing web standards and operating system features. It took them until December 2019 to implement one particular feature Chrome had since 2010 with a vendor prefix and since early 2016 as a fully-released feature. It took them until 4 weeks ago to implement an OS feature that existed since 2019 and which Chrome added that same year, and Edge had by 2022 at the latest.

You cut their budget, they'll necessarily lose developers. Yes, maybe they can minimise how many developers they lose by becoming more lean, but it's a fantasy to think that becoming "more lean" could actually prevent them from losing paid developers. And any volunteer developers are also necessarily going to be spending less time and effort on their contributions than a full-time paid employee would.

Cut their budget by 86% and they go from "barely keeping up" to "utterly falling behind".

Can we just redistribute the CEO's salary

That'll give you about twenty-five engineers, give or take.

OK cool, let's conservatively say every C-suite member gets 10 million. I don't know how many of those there are, but let's conservatively say 10. That only leaves us with a funding gap of 400 million. Any idea how to close that?

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Not all software needs to be backed by money. Money helps, of course, and I would support a non-profit financially that is focused purely on browser development. Right now, the only game in town doing that is Ladybird. But honestly, I think building upon a firefox fork makes more sense than starting from scratch.

You're saying Firefox could exist, and keep up with security updates and website compatibility, without being backed by money? (Or based on a couple of donations?) Any convincing evidence that could make us trust that that's possible too?

Many such pieces of software exist both backed by non-profit foundations, and not. Before the Linux kernel was running the world, it was primarily maintained by volunteers. Also consider the myriad of Linux distributions that don't have corp overlords. Or pick a *BSD. Or anything you watch video content with: ffmpeg, vlc, mpv. Or even various programming languages such as ECMA Script, Python, Ruby, C, C++, etc. Hell, even Lemmy fits into this category. There literally is a whole slew of software not directly backed by money and still maintained that literally runs the world.

All your examples are at a way smaller scale, or rely on corporate cooperation (and we already have that in Chromium). With the exception of VLC, which is a treasure, but also has way fewer adversaries/things that will break because they don't care about VLC.

Perhaps it could be state funded? It worked for PBS for a time and it still mostly works for the BBC. Why not a browser? A truly independent steward for the open web is important and it doesn’t seem like Google is capable of that.

I'd absolutely be in favour of that, preferably funding from several states. But I'd prefer getting that in place before losing the main source of income.

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