Hitch your tits and pucker up. We’re entering a new age of industry. Much like the original Industrial Revolution, technology is going to advance at an extremely rapid pace. Fusion, quantum computing supremacy. Just… wow. How far off is general AI with this new room temperature superconductor?
Fusion is no closer than ever before, and AGI is hilariously over hyped. Also no closer than ever before.
And Fusion is pretty close to begin with. Commonwealth Fusion is well within their purpose time table so far. They don't need any new superconductors for their project.
Fantasy
Stupid question probably - is computing power what is holding back general AI? I've not heard that.
What's holding back AGI is a complete lack of progress toward anything like intelligence. What we have now isn't intelligent, it's multi-variable probability.
It's not that it's not intelligent, it's that predictive language models are obviously just one piece of the puzzle, and we're going to need all the pieces to get to AGI. It's looking incredibly doable if we figured out how to make something that's dumb but sounds smarter than most of us already. We just need to connect it to other models that handle other things better.
You don't speak predictively. It's not one of the pieces, it's a parlor trick.
Simply throwing computing power at the existing models won't get us general AI. It will let us develop bigger and more complex models, but there's no guarantee that'll get us closer to the real thing.
Hitch your tits and pucker up. We’re entering a new age of industry. Much like the original Industrial Revolution, technology is going to advance at an extremely rapid pace. Fusion, quantum computing supremacy. Just… wow. How far off is general AI with this new room temperature superconductor?
Fusion is no closer than ever before, and AGI is hilariously over hyped. Also no closer than ever before.
And Fusion is pretty close to begin with. Commonwealth Fusion is well within their purpose time table so far. They don't need any new superconductors for their project.
Fantasy
Stupid question probably - is computing power what is holding back general AI? I've not heard that.
What's holding back AGI is a complete lack of progress toward anything like intelligence. What we have now isn't intelligent, it's multi-variable probability.
It's not that it's not intelligent, it's that predictive language models are obviously just one piece of the puzzle, and we're going to need all the pieces to get to AGI. It's looking incredibly doable if we figured out how to make something that's dumb but sounds smarter than most of us already. We just need to connect it to other models that handle other things better.
You don't speak predictively. It's not one of the pieces, it's a parlor trick.
Simply throwing computing power at the existing models won't get us general AI. It will let us develop bigger and more complex models, but there's no guarantee that'll get us closer to the real thing.