Harris vs. Trump latest presidential poll: 7-point turnaround gives surging candidate big national lead

MicroWave@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world – 154 points – Harris vs. Trump latest presidential poll: 7-point turnaround gives surging candidate big national lead
nj.com

Coming off what one pollster called the “best polling” of her short campaign, Vice President Kamala Harris kicks off a new week with another strong showing as she continues to surge ahead of Donald Trump.

An NBC News poll, which dropped Sunday, reveals Harris has coaxed a double-digit increase in popularity and rising voter enthusiasm that has rocketed her ahead of Trump nationally in the reshuffled the 2024 presidential contest, according to a new national NBC News poll.

Of course, the presidential race is decided by the Electoral College, which means that a handful of states is likely to decide the election.

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Please remember to vote. Polls mean nothing.

National polls doubly so. The electoral college strongly favors Republicans.

Ironic that the party who wails and moans about DEI practices gets artificially propped up by the EC and would absolutely get demolished without studious gerrymandering.

Those bitches will howl when Texas turns blue in 2 or 3 cycles.

Hopefully we are still allowed to vote when that time comes.

Do not be fooled. The GOP is not running a failing campaign, it's just that they are putting all their energy toward backdooring the whole democratic process itself. Their campaign is little more than a diversion for their coup.

Let's keep pushing further. If polls show a tight race push for a win. If polls show a decent win make it big. If polls show a big win, make it a blowout

Find how to register to vote for where you are

Find opportunities to volunteer for dems around you

Amen (and thanks for the links).

Here's more links (these might be on the earlier linked site)

Help write letters to voters in swing state / other competitive down ballot elections

Help drive people to the polls if you live somewhere car centric. Or you can request one there if you need a ride

If you are curious what the most effective volunteering method is, most data suggest it's canvasing (door knocking) but other things like text banking, phone banking, letter writing are still effective too

The simple answer to that is this: she’s incredibly likable

And

It doesn't hurt that she's running against the most offensive candidate since David Duke

Vote folks. Volunteer to help people who need rides to the polls to vote -- or make sure they know how to view absentee if your state allows it.

if anything, polls from AZ, NC, NV, PA, GA, MI and WI are more meaningful than national numbers

I’ve heard that Kamala needs roughly a 3.5% advantage nationwide to break even in the electoral college. It’s not a direct correlation of course, but it stands as a good indicator.

It’s insane if you think about it though, that we give the republicans 3.5% house odds. That’s more than we give casinos in blackjack. We don’t even give most one arm bandits that much.

I almost feel there is only one state: Pennsylvania. It seems like it's the lynchpin to victory.

Is anyone tracking Harris’ polling against Clinton’s from the same time 8 years ago?

Some important differences:

  • Fewer undecideds in polling than 2016. Makes the margins more significant. Harris is starting to see some state polling putting her at 50% or above which is encouraging. Hillary virtually never saw polls like that

  • Hillary was basically always at net negative popularity/approval. Harris has now gotten to net neutral or slightly positive

Election could still go either way but there are some differences

She’s got a big national lead!

They said. They were very, very wrong somehow.