Oh please! I'd love to see Big Oil shrivel and die just like our societies and very planet have under their influence.
They will just take all their oil billions and buy up battery companies at the last moment.
They can do that with a lot of them, but not all. You can't really sell an oil platform when nobody is buying oil anymore. The "stranded assets" is a huge motivator for fossil industries to prolong the switch to renewables as long as possible. Problem is the governments being complicit. They could have made clear paths from when on no new fossil investments were allowed to create a proper phase out.
How are they going to convert their assets in that scenario? The value of oil will just go down from here on out, eventually it'll reach a point where it starts going back up again because it'll be such a hard to acquire commodity for the few people that want it.
Eventually we'll get to a point where the only people who use oil are rich people who can afford to run vintage cars and presumably pay some kind of carbon offset tax.
the future is in plastics
And even for vintage cars and stuff, I assume we'll see better eco friendly and bio fuels being created that could be made in smaller batches without needing to use conventional oil as the fuel. Starting to see more and more of this on aviation already, and even some old warbirds have done recent tests on these fuels and run really well.
Yeah the US Airforce tested all their planes even the stealth bomber on a SAF that can be made from sequestered carbon, they said it passed all tests and that it would be a great way to be fuel independent, they're especially interested as it seems to look possible to fit carbon capture and processing in a small enough package to fit in an aircraft carrier. Even if manned planes aren't as useful in future conflicts we'll likely see drones that use jet fuel replace them.
I mean they absolutely will when civilization collapses due to climate collapse and accompanying weather events, famine, droughts, and plagues.
I take solace in knowing that they can build all the luxury bunkers they want, but they will one day come to realize they are their tombs, protecting them from the world and species they damned, including for any of their muh legacy nepo babies huddled underground with them, for a couple million years.
I'd appreciate if people just like you would stop taking any solace and tolerating this bs. The ONLY reason this shit continues to happen is because too many people do nothing. Then when asked they get defensive and say, "What am I supposed to do?!" followed by "What are you doing?!" Like guys, you're smart enough to recognize the perils of these industries, read journals and papers, and internalize the evidence, and you can't fucking do a quick Google search on activism and even lightly contemplate entering yourself into local politics?
Come now.
I was part of Occupy, and it was mostly the fellow peasants being hurt from this system laughing us off the street. I made phone calls for Bernie's primaries.
I still vote the least non-progressive out of harm reduction, and will vote for Harris, as I would have for Biden's corpse, just as I did voting for his corpse the last cycle, and Clinton before when not many showed up. But I no longer have hope. That's just so I can look myself in the mirror and say I did the right thing in the face of madness.
Good on you if you have hope, rage against the dying of that light. I've seen too much to believe that the nobility of the human spirit will prevail.
I was taught a lesson when I was younger that you cannot compare your trauma to that of another. I also learned that it isn't rage which defines progress, it is determination. Apathy, a loss of hope, quells the spirit and stunts progress. Those not on the Right are especially individualistic. We cater to the spirit of independence, while also celebrating love and community, though always as individuals to individuals. It's not "I" or "Myself" that makes the change. The shift happens when we step up together and change sets in when there is a united, achievable goal.
In near every recent movement the Left has been a part of with the exception of Bernie, there has been nothing that was clearly defined and clearly achievable. Just a bunch of angry people loosely pointing fingers. FeelTheBern DID work and imagine how things may have been different not if Bernie had been elected, but if we with our strength of spirit continued down a united path. Bernie's ENTIRE message was never about getting him elected, it was always about us coming together and being active as one.
I'm sad that so many people seem to have forgotten that.
I hear you about the long arm of history, and I might even agree, but not just our society, our species was put on notice we are risking the habitability of our only shared, sole habitat in the medium term a century ago. Now it's here, it's accelerating, we are feeling amuse bouche of our reverse terraforming project, scientists are finding new runaway effects their conservative estimates didn't account for, and still humanity collectively shrugs because we can't disrupt our global economy short term even to literally have a future for our species. We, the US, are among the leaders in the world in terms of accelerating that destruction.
I likely would have more of an attitude of not for us, for our children if that weren't the case. But physics doesn't care that we are the slow learners and selfish fucks. I hold the shame and guilt in my heart for my son's likely hellish future that I really can do nothing about short of becoming an ecoterrorist which for the record I'm not planning on becoming.
Time is no longer a luxury humanity possesses. We needed to take drastic, draconian, lifestyle altering changes decades ago, and we still aren't willing to entertain such things today, with shattered heat and earliest cat 5 hurricane ever records.
Exactly why "we" is important. People are struggling and it's difficult to consider the world when your own life is falling apart.
Unfortunately I don't have a true solution to this beyond the need for a real leader to step up. Well...there is another solution, though I'd rather not speak of it for fear of ending up on a list. It's also not one I support. Still, I feel strongly that we can find our way.
At the very least I'm not just going to roll over.
You say "do something" and follow or with "protest"?
Concrete is effective at sealing shut bunker doors, and air ventilation systems, as is caulk
Yeah, but humans are not very effective at organising humans to act in their best interests in a coordinated and logical manner. I feel that this will be even more of a challenge post-collapse. Some bunkers may get caulked. Most will get left alone.
Too bad the lithium battery industry is no better. Those places are child labor slave mines and the environmental damage is astronomical..
You're probably thinking of cobalt or perhaps hard rock lithium mines. Most lithium is just pumped out of the ground as brines, just like oil.
This is true but coal mining is just as bad and requires orders of magnitude (mineral fuels) more excavation than all of the other minerals combined. If we can stop mining coal by using renewables the total amount of mining will be a fraction of what it currently is. Plus many of the other minerals can be reused where coal just ends up as carbon in the atmosphere.
This is exactly it. Of course battery production is harmful too, but not only is it less harmful than other sources to extract, you also don't have to burn batteries to generate the power. With fossil fuels, the extraction is massively more harmful and then the use itself creates even more pollution.
Trees are technically a green, renewable fuel (if humanity used them that way). The carbon dioxide released is that which was sequestered during the tree's life.
But oil is gathering material that accrued over vast amounts of time, and using that, dumping huge volumes of co2 directly onto the air. There's no cycle happening there - just pure extraction for our extinction.
well damn.. learned more about mining in 267 pages than I ever thought possible
You're missing the big picture. Firstly because they're reducing the cobalt requirements in batteries which will massively help. Also long-term lithium and cobalt are metals, they are found all over the place. Oil and coal are products that require life and as far as we know Earth is the only planet in the solar system to have organics like that.
But we can mine asteroids for materials to build batteries. Long before that we'll have automation to mine the materials on Earth does not requiring human labor. Long-Term this is an improvement it isn't a zero-sum gain at all like you're making out
I mean, not so very long-term (like, now) there's also sodium-ion prussian blue batteries. That's some damned good tech right there, and it's at the beginning of its development arc - there's a lot of room for improvement, and it's already good.
too bad AI is going to fuck it all up long before then
May as well give up then.
You really sound desperate to reject any possibility that hard work and human ingenuity can solve problems. I assume it's because you're scared of feeling you have to actually take life seriously and consider the implications of each choice you make.
I reject the possibility that exploration of workers isn't going to be a part of this "human ingenuity". Enjoy your electric cars all you like, but don't pretend nobody was exploited in the making of it.
Oh please! I'd love to see Big Oil shrivel and die just like our societies and very planet have under their influence.
They will just take all their oil billions and buy up battery companies at the last moment.
They can do that with a lot of them, but not all. You can't really sell an oil platform when nobody is buying oil anymore. The "stranded assets" is a huge motivator for fossil industries to prolong the switch to renewables as long as possible. Problem is the governments being complicit. They could have made clear paths from when on no new fossil investments were allowed to create a proper phase out.
How are they going to convert their assets in that scenario? The value of oil will just go down from here on out, eventually it'll reach a point where it starts going back up again because it'll be such a hard to acquire commodity for the few people that want it.
Eventually we'll get to a point where the only people who use oil are rich people who can afford to run vintage cars and presumably pay some kind of carbon offset tax.
the future is in plastics
And even for vintage cars and stuff, I assume we'll see better eco friendly and bio fuels being created that could be made in smaller batches without needing to use conventional oil as the fuel. Starting to see more and more of this on aviation already, and even some old warbirds have done recent tests on these fuels and run really well.
Yeah the US Airforce tested all their planes even the stealth bomber on a SAF that can be made from sequestered carbon, they said it passed all tests and that it would be a great way to be fuel independent, they're especially interested as it seems to look possible to fit carbon capture and processing in a small enough package to fit in an aircraft carrier. Even if manned planes aren't as useful in future conflicts we'll likely see drones that use jet fuel replace them.
I mean they absolutely will when civilization collapses due to climate collapse and accompanying weather events, famine, droughts, and plagues.
https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/07/the-climate-is-changing-so-fast-that-we-havent-seen-how-bad-extreme-weather-could-get/
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-39810-w
I take solace in knowing that they can build all the luxury bunkers they want, but they will one day come to realize they are their tombs, protecting them from the world and species they damned, including for any of their muh legacy nepo babies huddled underground with them, for a couple million years.
I'd appreciate if people just like you would stop taking any solace and tolerating this bs. The ONLY reason this shit continues to happen is because too many people do nothing. Then when asked they get defensive and say, "What am I supposed to do?!" followed by "What are you doing?!" Like guys, you're smart enough to recognize the perils of these industries, read journals and papers, and internalize the evidence, and you can't fucking do a quick Google search on activism and even lightly contemplate entering yourself into local politics?
Come now.
I was part of Occupy, and it was mostly the fellow peasants being hurt from this system laughing us off the street. I made phone calls for Bernie's primaries.
I still vote the least non-progressive out of harm reduction, and will vote for Harris, as I would have for Biden's corpse, just as I did voting for his corpse the last cycle, and Clinton before when not many showed up. But I no longer have hope. That's just so I can look myself in the mirror and say I did the right thing in the face of madness.
Good on you if you have hope, rage against the dying of that light. I've seen too much to believe that the nobility of the human spirit will prevail.
I was taught a lesson when I was younger that you cannot compare your trauma to that of another. I also learned that it isn't rage which defines progress, it is determination. Apathy, a loss of hope, quells the spirit and stunts progress. Those not on the Right are especially individualistic. We cater to the spirit of independence, while also celebrating love and community, though always as individuals to individuals. It's not "I" or "Myself" that makes the change. The shift happens when we step up together and change sets in when there is a united, achievable goal.
In near every recent movement the Left has been a part of with the exception of Bernie, there has been nothing that was clearly defined and clearly achievable. Just a bunch of angry people loosely pointing fingers. FeelTheBern DID work and imagine how things may have been different not if Bernie had been elected, but if we with our strength of spirit continued down a united path. Bernie's ENTIRE message was never about getting him elected, it was always about us coming together and being active as one.
I'm sad that so many people seem to have forgotten that.
I hear you about the long arm of history, and I might even agree, but not just our society, our species was put on notice we are risking the habitability of our only shared, sole habitat in the medium term a century ago. Now it's here, it's accelerating, we are feeling amuse bouche of our reverse terraforming project, scientists are finding new runaway effects their conservative estimates didn't account for, and still humanity collectively shrugs because we can't disrupt our global economy short term even to literally have a future for our species. We, the US, are among the leaders in the world in terms of accelerating that destruction.
I likely would have more of an attitude of not for us, for our children if that weren't the case. But physics doesn't care that we are the slow learners and selfish fucks. I hold the shame and guilt in my heart for my son's likely hellish future that I really can do nothing about short of becoming an ecoterrorist which for the record I'm not planning on becoming.
Time is no longer a luxury humanity possesses. We needed to take drastic, draconian, lifestyle altering changes decades ago, and we still aren't willing to entertain such things today, with shattered heat and earliest cat 5 hurricane ever records.
Exactly why "we" is important. People are struggling and it's difficult to consider the world when your own life is falling apart.
Unfortunately I don't have a true solution to this beyond the need for a real leader to step up. Well...there is another solution, though I'd rather not speak of it for fear of ending up on a list. It's also not one I support. Still, I feel strongly that we can find our way.
At the very least I'm not just going to roll over.
You say "do something" and follow or with "protest"?
Concrete is effective at sealing shut bunker doors, and air ventilation systems, as is caulk
Yeah, but humans are not very effective at organising humans to act in their best interests in a coordinated and logical manner. I feel that this will be even more of a challenge post-collapse. Some bunkers may get caulked. Most will get left alone.
Too bad the lithium battery industry is no better. Those places are child labor slave mines and the environmental damage is astronomical..
You're probably thinking of cobalt or perhaps hard rock lithium mines. Most lithium is just pumped out of the ground as brines, just like oil.
This is true but coal mining is just as bad and requires orders of magnitude (mineral fuels) more excavation than all of the other minerals combined. If we can stop mining coal by using renewables the total amount of mining will be a fraction of what it currently is. Plus many of the other minerals can be reused where coal just ends up as carbon in the atmosphere.
This is exactly it. Of course battery production is harmful too, but not only is it less harmful than other sources to extract, you also don't have to burn batteries to generate the power. With fossil fuels, the extraction is massively more harmful and then the use itself creates even more pollution.
Trees are technically a green, renewable fuel (if humanity used them that way). The carbon dioxide released is that which was sequestered during the tree's life.
But oil is gathering material that accrued over vast amounts of time, and using that, dumping huge volumes of co2 directly onto the air. There's no cycle happening there - just pure extraction for our extinction.
well damn.. learned more about mining in 267 pages than I ever thought possible
Just take a look where most of these rare raw material resources exist and note what attitude these countries have to the environmental cause. Zero, none. Russia, China, Africa https://www.dw.com/en/how-chinas-mines-rule-the-market-of-critical-raw-materials/a-57148375 I bet they won't mind destroying whole local ecosystem just to get extra bucks Europe needs
You're missing the big picture. Firstly because they're reducing the cobalt requirements in batteries which will massively help. Also long-term lithium and cobalt are metals, they are found all over the place. Oil and coal are products that require life and as far as we know Earth is the only planet in the solar system to have organics like that.
But we can mine asteroids for materials to build batteries. Long before that we'll have automation to mine the materials on Earth does not requiring human labor. Long-Term this is an improvement it isn't a zero-sum gain at all like you're making out
I mean, not so very long-term (like, now) there's also sodium-ion prussian blue batteries. That's some damned good tech right there, and it's at the beginning of its development arc - there's a lot of room for improvement, and it's already good.
too bad AI is going to fuck it all up long before then
May as well give up then.
You really sound desperate to reject any possibility that hard work and human ingenuity can solve problems. I assume it's because you're scared of feeling you have to actually take life seriously and consider the implications of each choice you make.
I reject the possibility that exploration of workers isn't going to be a part of this "human ingenuity". Enjoy your electric cars all you like, but don't pretend nobody was exploited in the making of it.