Longtime GOP Pollster: Trump’s Campaign Is Over After Debate

return2ozma@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world – 92 points –
Longtime GOP Pollster: Trump’s Campaign Is Over After Debate
thedailybeast.com

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Old trick, don't fall for it. Go out and vote, never assume victory on your side or trust people from the other side telling you you won.

They want people to not vote because it is: "in the bag"

If they say Trump's winning, it's a trick to make Democrats think it's lost and stay home. If they say Trump's losing, it's a trick to make Democrats think they've won and stay home.

Maybe sometimes people just want to share opinions about what's going on. We should vote regardless, but not everything is a trick.

Honestly you might be right, but at this point I am not sure if what I feel is news induced paranoia or realistic worry. Regardless, go vote indeed.

We're talking about American politics, every avenue of which is spun by media looking for eyeballs, capitalists looking for dollars, leaders looking for allies, and egoists looking for power. Sure there are individuals that just want to share their opinion, but there is also no shortage of people who are trying to trick some portion of the electorate.

If we were talking Fox News then that heuristic is probably pretty close to reality

It ain't over until the election is over. Let's not get complacent

Yes! Vote! Vote early! Vote Often (j/k)!

Actually Vote Often is correct. Every election your City, County, State & Federal have, you Vote. That way you never get removed from the voter rolls legally.

Man it would be great if that was more on the radar, to vote at all these other levels

This race is exactly tied 50-50

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

You need to do everything you can to help Harris win! Donate and volunteer! Go do a web search how to do it right now! I mean RIGHT now! Go!

Nate Silver is a hack, but agree with everything else you said.

Why do you say that? The consensus seems to be that he is one of the best at what he does.

One reason is that he has demonstrated over the past 8 years that he's not really better at forecasting than others. But the main reason I say that is he's shown his ass on social media time and time again. I don't have specifics so can't really defend my accusation.

The polls are literally irrelevant -- and I don't mean just in the usual way that they can have bias or vary compared to what the actual vote ends up being.

What I mean is that the polls are irrelevant because Trump isn't even trying to win votes in the first place, but instead has every intention of massively cheating and stealing the presidency.

So yeah: first of all, it's imperative to disregard the polls and vote anyway because we can't just squeak by, but instead need massive landslide victories in states like GA and AZ to overwhelm all the fraud (throwing out valid votes and refusing to certify) the MAGA election officials will be perpetrating. And then second, we have to go beyond just voting and be prepared to hold massive protests to make it clear to both election officials and judges handling Trump's inevitable flood of election-denier lawsuits that professional misconduct will not be tolerated.

Trust nothing that comes from a poll. Go vote. It ain't over till it's over.

Polls can be a good indicator, since not everyone will vote. But yes, go vote. If you vote for Harris, get out there on Tuesday, 5 November and show your support! If you vote for Trump, get out there on Wednesday, 6 November and show your support! (Don't get your days mixed up! The liberal media doesn't want you to remember that your Trump vote only counts if it's on Wednesday!)

Nothing over until January 7th.

Register to vote. Vote. Use your time and energy to get others to do the same. Hold the line until the election is certified.

Fake News!

-Republicans who do their Own Research!

“Ethically and follicly challenged” Frank Luntz