Bitcoin briefly rises to record high over $70,000

Tukma@lemmy.cafe to News@lemmy.world – 109 points –
reuters.com
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This is institutional investors driving up price and then pulling out. Bitcoin is propped up by absolutely nothing other than betting. It has no use outside holding a value. Someone will be a bag holder. It’s just a matter of time.

It has no use outside holding a value.

So... same as fiat then, ey?

I begrudgingly hold BTC, waiting for the halving in 38 days when all my coins double.

At least Monero (which is actually private like cash - sender, receiver, and amount aren't known to anyone viewing the blockchain) has a valuable function.

I can't wait to see companies like Visa and Mastercard become obsolete. I think it will really help out my aunt's family business by cutting crazy high transaction fees she has to pay as a vendor.

but, like, bitcoin has high (and variable) transaction fees.

That's layer 1. Read up on layer 2 options. Lightning Network is the best current example, but there are others and will be more. That's where most of the innovation is happening now. The media never talks about it because it's necessarily more technical and they think their readers/viewers are all idiots, so why bother.

Or does the media never talk about it because the whole thing is confusing as fuck, there are about a bajillion different coins and no one knows which one to use, and there has yet to be an advantage (and often a big hurdle) to use any of these cyrptocurrencies to do things like buy a gallon of milk.

We hear a lot about how it's better than "fiat" currency, and yet if I want to go down to the gas station and get a soda, I can pay for that soda with exactly zero cryptocurrencies unless I convert them into dollars first.

Maybe if crypto people ever get their act together, and I don't see that happening any time soon, this will be more than people investing in digital tulips.

But hey, the local mall here has a Bitcoin ATM. In an entrance almost no one ever uses in a corner of the food court where there are no restaurants and you wouldn't even notice it unless you happened to walk past it and look at the front panel to see what it was (I only noticed it because my daughter is in online school and still has to do gym and we walk the perimeter of the mall in the winter). So there's that.

Also they love to act as though fiat isn’t backed by anything despite the fact that fiat is actually backed by something extremely important: you are required by law to use fiat for interactions with some of the most powerful organizations in the world. I can’t pay taxes in crypto or gold or even rubles, my government accepts usd and if I don’t hand them usd every year I get in trouble. When they pay me for any reason it’s in usd. When they fine me it’s in usd. That is a backing. So long as I have to financially deal with the governments of the United States I have to have appropriate quantities of usd. And because of all of this everything around me accepts that currency, even drug dealers take cash. Why? Because it’s the local currency. And it’s reasonably stable.

And on that note, I’d never spend a wildly inflationary currency. It’s not an effective currency and because of that it winds up being entirely theoretical.

I don't disagree with anything you said. Yes, it's confusing and there's no shortage of scammers trying to make it more confusing in order to bamboozle people.

My humble advice is to ignore "crypto". Adopt, at least for now, the philosophy that, "it's either Bitcoin, or shit coin." That'll simplify things immensely for those just getting started, and is true for at least 99.9% of other coins out there (100% if you want my honest opinion).

Maybe, in the distant future, when/if you decide to dive down the rabbit hole and really get comfortable how Bitcoin functions and what gives it value, then you'll be in a better position to judge other coins. More likely, you won't bother because you won't need to.

But, mark my words, nothing is going to replace Bitcoin. Some other coins might manage to fulfill some esoteric fringe use cases that Bitcoin doesn't, and maybe one those use cases will be beneficial to you. If so, awesome. But they're not going to be able to replace Bitcoin.

Layer 2 protocols are tools that operate on top of the (admittedly slow and variable) Bitcoin blockchain. Lightning Network (LN) is currently the most prominent and allows secure transactions that complete in a few seconds with extremely small fees. LN addresses the "it's too slow/unpredictable" argument against Bitcoin.

There are many other Layer 2 protocols running on top of Bitcoin in various stages of development and production addressing different issues and use cases. But, you don't need to know about any of them, honestly. You don't need to pick the winner (there will be many winners doing different things). When any of them catch on and go mainstream, then that will drive more demand for Bitcoin to help power that protocol.

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Monero (which is actually private like cash - sender, receiver, and amount aren't known to anyone viewing the blockchain) has transaction fees of a penny or two. It works by mixing every real transaction with 16 decoy transactions. Currently there are supposedly ways to track a small percentage of transactions but it's so secretive that only approved western government organizations are allowed access, but it doesn't work well and it only gives a statistical probability. And it's one of the wider used currencies current at $145 per coin.

The government hates not being able to track you.

Also BTC fees do suck but they vary. Most days they're around $1-$1.50 which isn't that far off from the $.50 charged (to businesses) by credit card processors.

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That's a paraphrase of what they said in 2010 mate.

Thanks to people like you I'm not a bitcoin millionaire.

So you were saved from being a colossal asshole? You should be thanking them.

Yes, imagine if I had lots of money for little effort. It would have been such a shame!

I didn't know you were a bad person just by the virtue of having money!

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It's estimated that Bitcoin uses the same amount of energy as the entire Internet. Just to put that in perspective that's roughly 2% of all the energy generated by America every year.

America produces roughly 14,000,000,000,000 pounds of greenhouse gases in a year and 2% of that is 280,000,000,000 pounds...

I did some maths back on another thread here: https://feddit.nl/comment/6632730

The internet is around 40 times bigger than crypto as a whole. Feel free to check it and tell me if I missed the mark.

However, Buttcoin still eats a disgusting amount of electricity, being 2.5% of the whole internet. All the while, its only utility has so far been to create a completely unregulated commodity market that is unsurprisingly dominated by private equity doing pump and dumps.

The interesting thing someone brought up in that discussion though is that half of all consumer internet traffic is ads. Which is scary, and I don't know (or rather do exactly know) why we don't talk about that.

It’s estimated that Bitcoin uses the same amount of energy as the entire Internet.

I checked out of the bitcoin hype years ago but is there a source for this? On it's face, it sounds outlandish.

It's not outlandish if you know that mining Bitcoin basically means to waste electricity. The more electricity you use, the more Bitcoin you mine.

Bitcoin mining consists one brute forcing the inverse of a function that doesn't have an inverse. You just try every number and if you're lucky you get paid.

I get all that but it’s that compared to all of the infrastructure, worldwide, installed over decades connecting everyone and everything.

I’m not saying it’s wrong but I’d like to see a source on it.

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At least tulips exist...

And don't waste ridiculous amounts of electricity.

How much electricity does the world banking system use? (Answer: a whole lot more)

How much of that electricity could be used to simultaneously run the banking system AND turn incredibly ambitious renewable energy project ideas from absurd pipe dreams into economic no brainers? (Answer: none)

It's also the world banking system for several billion people, and not a few hundred thousand gamblers.

Don't worry, we only have to deal with the true believers as long as the price is high. Just wait.

But this parallel financial system can also serve a tangible social good, offering an onramp to the financial system for people who would otherwise be left out. ...

Bitcoin could eliminate all these intermediaries, allowing citizens to send digital payments directly to one another, without relying on credit and without incurring multiple settlement fees along the way.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/26/bitcoin-is-poised-to-blow-up-africas-86-billion-banking-system.html

Bitcoin is for everybody.

How much electricity does the world banking system use? (Answer: a whole lot more)

Per capita or in total?

Apples to apples. One global banking system to one global Bitcoin network.

That is the opposite of apples to apples.

Per capita measurements exist for a reason.

Per what capita? There's only one global banking system on Earth. That's what makes it global. There's only one Bitcoin blockchain, and it's globally accessible. Trying to subdivide either into arbitrary regions based on geographic or geopolitical borders is meaningless.

How about per 'people who are actually going to use this shit for day-to-day spending'?

I just got my mom using a password manager and still have to remote in to help her from time to time. And you wanna get her to move to digital cash that, once stolen, is unrecoverable?

Get real.

That's a strong argument against password managers. We probably shouldn't allow them, since some people are going to find them difficult to use.

ETA: Doubling the number of people using Bitcoin (especially on layer 2 protocols), is not going to remotely double it's energy usage.

You'd have a point if managing passwords was as central to existing in modern society as being able to use money.

So does that mean that it won’t use appreciably more electricity if it quintuples in size and volume unlike the world banking system?

You don't think that the world banking system would use more energy if it quintupled in size? The world banking system uses more energy every time your local credit union installs an ATM at another grocery store.

And that’s why we say that per person or per transaction matters. For the amount of value it provides how much does it use? Bitcoin is worse by a lot even if its primary use was as a currency rather than an investment vehicle

Despite having millions of ATMs and banking offices, it uses less energy.

There's probably more ATMs than Bitcoin users.

The Bitcoin network is absolutely tiny in userbase for the amount of energy they waste.

a whole lot more

You have a source on that? Proof of work is notoriously energy hungry... That's the "work" part.

https://docsend.com/view/adwmdeeyfvqwecj2#

The direct answer to your question starts on page 6, but I recommend starting at the beginning to get the full context.

A crypto mining company is your source for claims that crypto mining companies operate ethically?

Can you refute their math? You asked for a source. That's the most comprehensive data I could find. I'm happy to look at any better if you've got it.

Their math is nonsense because that document compares total energy consumption instead of consumption per transaction. That's like saying Lamborghinis are the most efficient cars on the road because their summed up fuel consumption is lower than that of all VWs or all Toyotas (or probably even all bicycles).

There.

/edit I just needed to come back to this comment because that document really makes me irrationally angry. It's not just that it doesn't compare energy consumption per transaction, it's also that especially btc is pretty much the worst offender when it comes to energy per transaction. It's not just that it consumes more energy if more transactions are scheduled... Once the blocks are full, the users spend horrendous fees to get their transactions through in time, meaning that suddenly it becomes economically viable to spend a lot more on mining to be the one to find the next block with all those precious transaction fees. Btc's energy footprint literally explodes once the blocks are at capacity - and at that point btc is still orders of magnitude away from visa or banks and their transaction volume. That problem is so bad that other cryptos have written their protocols to automatically increase block size once the volume increases or simply forked away from btc to allow bigger blocks (which was necessary because the miners have absolutely no incentive to increase the block size as it's obviously in their best interest to earn money with transaction fees). Proof of work crypto is literally the worst offender when it comes to energy efficiency, with high performance computing centres spending incomprehensible amounts of energy to solve the mathematical equivalent of Sudokus, just to be eligible to retrieve the next prize as the first solver of that puzzle with no gain for humanity from all that spent energy whatsoever. It's as if banks insisted on all transfers being brought to the next bank using a pick up truck that is only allowed to drive in first gear and at max rpm, just because.

And for what? Power to the people? Instead of a handful of banks, the important cryptos are now in the hands of a handful of miners, but without the consumer protection laws that banks have to follow. Great job.

Re: your on chain transactions argument, you're completely over looking (intentionally?) the fact that day to day transactions don't need to be on chain. In fact many would argue that they shouldn't be on chain. Layer 2 protocols can handle all of that.

Just one example scenario could be...

Step 1. Your employer opens a Lightning Network channel to your node (self hosted, or not, your call). This requires one on chain transaction (actually, there are enhancements that allow opening multiple channels in a single transaction, but that's beyond the scope of this conversation.) Step 2. Every month, your employer pays you over this channel. No new on chain transactions happen for this. Step 3. You use the channel to pay your rent/mortage, utility bill, etc. Still, no new on chain transactions. Step 4. You continue to use the channel to buy groceries, lunch, drinks for friends, a massage, etc. No on chain transactions. Step 5. Oops, you've got a bill that needs to be paid in fiat. What now?!? Use the channel to transfer some Bitcoin to your bank account, where it's automatically converted into fiat. Pay your bill from there. Still no on chain transactions. Step 6. Return to step 2. Still no on chain transactions. ... Step 3,658,423. 6 years later, you leave your job, Your employer closes the channel. Any Bitcoin left on your side of the channel (if any) is sent to an on chain address that you provided in step 1. This requires one more on chain transaction.

Total number of on chain transactions in 6 years and countless payments: 2

In reality, that's probably not exactly how it would work. For instance, I would quickly just send my entire paycheck back out on the channel to a different LN channel I had open with a reliable node operator so that I wasn't dependent on my employer keeping their node running over the weekend so I could pick up the tab at the bar. Etc

Regardless, that's how it could work. There are countless other ways it could work, limited only by the desires and imagination of those setting up their channels, and all allowing for countless transactions over months, years, even decades, to be represented by two small on chain transactions.

Ah, lightning... The dumbest idea ever to happen to bitcoin.

Those channels need to be filled with btc before they work. Who can do that? I certainly can't do that for 6 years in advance. I'm certain my employer can't do that for all his employees. You know what players can create large lightning channels? Banks! Why on earth would anyone who likes the idea of btc, with its promise of "your keys, your coins" suddenly go back to a banking system where an arbitrary third party service can just lock your funds because they dislike what you spend your money for? Lightning has been 10 years in the making but the idea hasn't been picked up and I'm certain it never will. Because not only does the current implementation and user experience suck hard but because it literally copies the banking system that btc came to fight, giving users an experience that has literally no advantage at all compared to PayPal or visa. 10 years and even you are still all "would" and "could" in how you describe it.

If your argument why pow crypto isn't energy hungry is that you don't even have to use pow crypto but can just rely on an entirely different tech tacked to it in order to reduce usage of the core tech, fine. I guess it still proves my point. Besides the issue that nobody uses that broken piece of crap, the issue of course remains that there's still no indication that it's less energy hungry per transaction than any banking system. Banks are good at one thing, which is managing money. If you think that they're intentionally wasting terawatthours of energy because of laziness or incompetence you're mistaken. Distributing it to the users won't cost less energy and I have no idea where that notion comes from.

The channel in my example only needs to be opened with one month's pay, not 6 years worth. The same initial balance goes repeatedly goes back and forth across the channel as it is paid and spent. But your "superior knowledge" of the subject matter is clearly all you need to make your "informed" decisions, so, whatever. I wish you well.

The channel in my example only needs to be opened with one month's pay, not 6 years worth. The same initial balance goes repeatedly goes back and forth across the channel as it is paid and spent.

You're assuming that all funds are spent every month. Like, January 31st the balance is 0. That won't work. I guess you'll just have to discuss with your employer how much you want to save vs how much you want to spend, just so they can fill the channel properly. Exactly what my employer's business is. You know what's great, too, about having a shared escrow with my employer that they put my money in? They know how much I spend. Not what people like. Easy to avoid though: just use a third arbitrator that manages the channel for that scenario. And bam, we're back with banks and PayPal. Lol, it's such a dumb system...

Isn't crypto dead yet?

Fiat is

Weird, my landlord only takes fiat. So does my grocer. And in a funny coincidence I had to pay fiat to my government this year or face legal consequences. But at no point has anything I’ve wanted required me to use a highly volatile or deflationary cryptocurrency such as bitcoin. Oh well I guess I might get in trouble tonight when I go out with my wife and get told they don’t take fiat because it’s dead.

Your landlord doesn't accept Pesos so I guess that's not real money either

Bitcoin briefly rises to record high over $70,000

In my country they aren’t. They’re foreign currency. I get mad if someone slips me them instead of using our currency.

And yes it’s irrelevant how much a bitcoin is worth to its use as a currency. Currency and investment vehicles are actually conflicting concepts. I don’t want to use my mutual fund to pay taxes. It’s supposed to get added to consistently for a long time then removed from. Currency is for transactions. Bitcoin is bad at transactions.

I agree that bitcoin is currently not good for transactions. There is the lightning network and other cryptos, but Bitcoin is more of a staple name than seemingly the real solution.

So what is blowing up the bubble this time?

People not selling since before the crash. There will be a fall of about 10% from people wanting to get out after being scared by the last crash, then it will rebound and climb as FOMO sets in with the confidence climb after the dip.

I bought $276 on the cash app for fun. It's now worth $1200. Should i cash it out or wait? I really have no idea. I feel bad that I'm part of a super weird system of fake money, but I'm also happy to see an extra $k.

Ask yourself this: has Bitcoin had - or is it trending towards - a net positive impact on our world? In other words, is it worth investing in long term? If it isn't you should treat it as a short term investment and get out as soon as you've made a profit - and you've literally 4x'd your investment. The fact that we're talking about the price in c/News is already a bad bubble sign and reminiscent of all the other times we've had crypto bubbles.

You have made back your investment plus some. Also you don't actually own any Bitcoin through CashApp, they sell fictitious potential value based on nothing. Take the cash minus the tax and invest your initial investment via actual ownership via a private wallet if you want to see what Bitcoin can be. Then, you are in profit and the worst case you lose money that doesn't matter.

Crypto is no different than stock investment, only invest what you are willing to lose and cash out when you are satisfied.

I can't give you legal financial advice, but my personal opinion is that Bitcoin still has value to gain and investing money of no consequence has a potential to be worthwhile beyond what investment in the S&P offers, and likey what realestate offers.

Similar boat here, and I literally just cashed mine out after seeing this headline. Could I have made more? Probably, but there's no universe in which my few hundred dollars is going to turn into a million. What's much more likely is that I would forget about it for another year.

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