I will stop using Linux / PC for 10 months. What do you think will happen in that period?

mrvictory1@lemmy.world to Linux@lemmy.ml – 159 points –

Long story short, this year is my exam preparation year and due to my nature I will take extreme measures to prevent distraction and focus on studying. I will decommision my PC, stop browsing Linux & tech related websites and leave this beautiful place called Lemmy. To make things clear, I am not influenced by anyone for doing this.

I want to use this post as a time capsule to revisit after 10 months, so I will write my predictions and also collect everyone's. What do you expect to see in Linux and tech scene in 10 months from now? Here are my predictions:

  • Pop OS 24.04 will be awesome and be the go-to recommendation when it is released
  • SteamOS for PCs will not be released yet
  • Linux market share will be around %2-2.5 in Steam hardware survey
  • Plasma 6 will be released around January and will be a bit buggy, but most rough edges will be smoothed by the next release in 3-4 months
  • NVK will have performance parity with official drivers in certain configurations
  • Wayland will gain wider adoption, even on Nvidia
  • There will be little to no progress in compatibility with current anti-cheat blocked games

Side note:

  • Web environment integrity will be adopted only in education industry because it is dominated by Chromebooks at least in US. It will not be adopted by streaming services because highest level of DRM is only available on Edge and Safari. Even if Chrome had WEI support it would be meaningless because Netflix will stream 720p / 1080p anyways. MSFT and Apple will not implement WEI in their browsers in order to preserve the end-to-end control they have currently. Banks will also not implement WEI because they may be still serving customers using legacy (Windows 7) technology or simply using Firefox.
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Good luck preparing for exams without a PC and also not touch a smartphone in a timespan of 10 months...

I don't recall saying anything about smartphone?

I feel like you might be cutting out the wrong device if the goal is to limit distractions.

Ya for real. I use my Linux Surface as a replacement for my phone because everything about my phone is built to distract me and keep my attention.

I can't realistically cut off my phone entirely but reduce the number of apps installed. I currently have only Firefox, Spotify, Proton Mail and Whatsapp which could distract me. Rest is utility apps like maps, calculator, messages etc.

If your phone is android its still Linux. Even if its not its still a personal computer.

This seems fun my prediction is that twitter will suffer a massive breach especially with how theyre handling verification in like 5 months

I like, I feel you're pretty much an accurate fortune teller of tech wizardry.

I have a less drastic prediction for Pop. It will release Cosmic, and instead of taking over, it will just rise a few places in the list of commonly recommended distros, and become another DE for people to argue whether it's the best.

I predict, when you finally run updates, you'll have minor keyring issues to work around.

Also after you reboot, if you're on Nvidia, your DM may not load until you update your drivers.

Framework will ship linux out of the box. I will have replaced the fans on my computer so they dont sound like industrial machinery.

Framework laptops aren't actually designed with Linux in mind are they? Remember hearing they used some hardware that wasn't well supported on linux

Their customer base loves linux so I think they will eventually.

I have a System76 laptop, but I don't like Pop!_OS. Maybe it's just because I don't like GNOME.

Probably. It's just gnome with a theme and some extensions.

GNOME 2 was great. So great that it lives on today as MATE. But I just can't get used to current GNOME at all and can't understand why KDE Plasma isn't popular.

What do you mean it isn't popular? I was under the impression that KDE was roughly as used as GNOME, maybe a little less since it's not the default in as many distros. As for why current GNOME is popular, my guess it's mostly momentum (since GNOME was already popular) but it being a very clean and polished desktop probably helps as well.

It always seems like for the last decade or so, Linux fans have been all about GNOME or the tiling window managers. There aren't really any distros I'm aware of other than KDE Neon that ship KDE as the default anymore, and some of the most popular distros, like Mint and Pop!_OS, don't even offer a KDE flavor at all.

GNOME just didn't feel right to me at all since GNOME 3. I can't get used to it.

I like the dash in gnome and don’t like the bar in plasma

It's just that the majority prefers a certain style. Gnome 3 has big borders, spacy frames etc. If you hate that, you are not going to enjoy it. :)

KDE also, same modern style.

My issue with GNOME is that it seems like it's trying to be a weird hybrid of a tablet and desktop interface, and you have to install all these extensions if you want to change any of it.

Isn't cosmic going to be its own DE separate from gnome?

Yep cosmic is it's own thing. They have Wayland support etc now, it's going really quickly. I think we will see some betas before end of year.

I think there will be even more support for anti cheat games and there is no way NVK even on its supported cards will have performance parity with the proprietary driver.

Good luck on your exam! I just started using pop os after never using Linux and it's really nice

or simply using Firefox.

In my experience Bank care little about anything outside of what they perceive as the mainstream (IE,EDGE,CHROME).

I was pleasantly surprised to see that my bank has security tips on their website for Windows, MacOS and Linux. They also mention Firefox alongside all the other browser options, so at least they can do this one thing right.

Google Play store or even services for damn push "secure 2FA pin"

What then, Windows?

  • no damn installable package manager

  • qclip for clipboard history is annoying

  • startisback++, files community and more projects are all paid

But there is lots of nice software you can replace the Windows garbage with and have an okay desktop, still phoning home, shit file manager, stupid filesystem reading/encryption capabilities...

Yeah, good luck haha

Windows has built-in clipboard history

Also, OP said they wouldn't be using their PC at all, not just Linux. Specifically cutting out Linux to avoid distractions doesn't even make sense

For me I guess it would make sense. But completely analog? Interesting, have fun

You can expect a much better posture and stronger back muscles 💪

I really hope nvk gets performance parity I'd love to be able to ditch the proprietary drivers and be able to use Wayland on my PC

Star Citizen may run even better on Linux due to the expected switch of backend from DX11 to Vulkan and they will start pushing out native Linux builds. Or it will be more boken due to lack of support for Vulkan APIs in wine and no native build ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

I predict everyone will be busy rewriting everything in Gtk10 and Qt12.. apart from that, nothing happened except wasting time rewriting software everytime someone decide to deprecate a library everyone depends on.

here my prediction:

  • gnome 44;
  • plasma 6;l
  • steamOS will be released;

AI will have taken over Linux development if not the world

Gpt-cli replacing bash in the kernel when?

Can't wait to have to ask my computer nicely to install firefox