'Avalanche' threatens to send Trump campaign into a full-on 'death spiral': analysis

just_another_person@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world – 245 points –
'Avalanche' threatens to send Trump campaign into a full-on 'death spiral': analysis
rawstory.com
61

Nope, nope, nope. We vote, we vote like our lives depend on it. We vote by mail, we vote in person, we get our friends and family to vote. We volunteer to be poll workers, we help our neighbors go out and vote. Because at the end of the day republicans are going to coagulate around this pus filled boil and vote for him anyways. Pay no attention to polls, pay no attention to these prognosticators. VOTE!

Well, yes, of course.

We can still delight in this piece of shit and the people trying to get him elected having a full-on meltdown though.

For sure, It wasn’t my intention to sound like I was berating you. Sorry if it came across that way.

....yeah? Obviously vote. Not sure how that invalidates this information?

Polling and reports like this are theorized to make some would be voters complacent and then skip voting since they feel it's going to happen anyway without their vote.

Scaramucci also tweeted, "When polls drop (and they will), Trump is going to go full on racist."

Trump has always been a racist. We've always known it. I guess he can always escalate, but don't pretend this is a new thing. Racism is at the core of his identity.

Did the Central Park Five case give it away?

He still insists that they had criminal records when they did not and he knows that because at President he could background check anyone he feels like at a level no one else in this country could.

They're not calling it a new thing. They're saying he's going to be more overt about it.

Keep in mind, there's still a non-zero chance the guy just straight up says the N word in public before this whole thing is through. As blindingly obvious as Trump's racism is, it can still get even more obvious.

How bout we just go vote him out. That's the important part right now. We don't need hyperbole, we just go vote in November

Might not be enough. Apparently they have better plans in place to manipulate the voting proces into (incorrectly) declaring Trump and others the winner, even if the votes say something else.

That's not going to work. This isn't Venezuela. If official results differ from exit polls, Democrats would not accept it.

Trump fans are just loud. They're not going to do anything.

This is naive thinking. They tried to overturn the result in 2020 and they've had four years to hone their strategy. Moderates who defended the election process last round have been pushed out of office. States with GOP legislatures in particular could refuse to certify totals and instead send electors of their own choosing.

It's not as simple as who gets more votes. The process requires that officials at multiple levels of government work in good faith, and there are a lot of bad faith actors taking office. Look at who won the Maricopa County primaries yesterday. That's the modern GOP.

I tend to think that once the media calls each state on election night, it becomes very difficult to move forward with contested results UNLESS it comes down to a single state again. If it's a toss up, they'll flex but if it takes flipping multiple states I think the Supreme Clowns will probably take the L.

Get your head out of the sand, they have a pathway to do this. Delay certification in the house, force it to be a congressional vote where each state gets a vote and more states have a Republican controlled delegation.

The pathway is there. We have to make the results so resounding that someone in the machine chickens out.

There is no way to do that. People in the US don't just roll over when their votes aren't counted.

2000 was different because voters in Florida were too stupid to figure out their ballots.

Yeah thanks. It's still nice not to have to live in constant dread until then, so I'll take the good news.

How bout we just go vote him out.

Wow! Brilliant! How has nobody thought of that before? Quick, call up the DNC and let them know that you solved the election!

Although the vice president trails Trump by 5 percent in a national Rasmussen poll,

Oh wow, then Harris must be at least 10% ahead! That's actually stellar news. 😀

Yeah Rasmussen is shit, but unfortunately every poll always seems to be D is up 5 points! Reality: D was down 15. :(

Rasmussen poll

LOL why even give that shit space in your article? Like its one of the worst! Even 538 gives it a poor grade (doesn't even make it to the top 275)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

Because rawstory - like all ad-supported media - wants money. It’s a horse race bonanza.

Polls released in late July or early August have offered some . . .

It was published August 1. What “early August” poll are they referencing? Apparently one that happened within 12 hours of the story?

I love the "or" part. You're the goddamn "journalist" find out what the date was lol

Yeah. The literal second a poll is released it's getting analyzed. Then it's weird to read about later the same day because the stories have to be written to make sense a year from now.

(X) Doubt

What do you doubt? That style guides force a past tense on news articles? Or that polls are pretty immediately getting analyzed when they're released?

We just need Trump to hold on a little longer. Just until the ballots are printed.

He can only drop it to JD Vance now, who would be a surefire loser.

Unless he replaces Vance and then drops

I believe he can't replace Vance at this point. Vance could himself drop I think? There's lots of FEC questions on that one.

Like the ff7 terrorist group? Or the video game studio? Which avalanche we talking about? (Too many summer steam games played recently)

Both seem keen on fighting corrupt politicians, be it in Medici or Midgar. Hard to tell.

Always saw President Shinra as a competent Trump, and Rufus as "Hi, I'm Eric!"

Rufus was infinitely smarter tha an Eric could even conceive of

Ugh. Sweaty rapist face. Can we not, photo editors?

Trump is attempting to ski now?!

Oh man, I wish he would. That would be hilarious to see. And dangerous for such an out of shape old man.

Let your freak flag fly, Big T. We love seeing you flail and get weirder and meltdown. The more that everyone sees your unhinged bullshit, the worse it looks for ya in November.

Scaramucci also tweeted, "When polls drop (and they will), Trump is going to go full on racist."

Why does the media keep pretending that Anthony Scaramucci is a serious person? He’s as much of a whore for attention as Trump.

I used to think so too, but I watch him on the Rest is Politics US podcast he comes across as very thoughtful with great insights.

He's an asshole but not an idiot, and he's not pretending to be anything he's not

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